October 29, 2020
There is one college football pick tonight.
Fresno State +3 spread against Colorado State risking 3% of the bankroll.
-Recency bias is playing a role here given Fresno State's most recent performance.
-This is Colorado State's first game this season under a new HC.
-The betting public is all over Colorado State in this matchup.
Colorado State will be playing their first game of the season under new HC Steve Addazio and while they may adapt in time, it is going to take them a while to bring cohesion to a newly learned offensive system. Fresno State made a lot of mistakes in their opening loss to Hawaii and we expect that they will have watched a ton of game film to learn from those mistakes. The players will be motivated to atone for those mistakes and we expect to see a much more simplified game plan in the early going to establish a rhythm and build confidence in the players, especially QB Jake Haener.
It's worth mentioning that Fresno State was also playing their first game of the season under a new head coach in last week's loss to Hawaii. We all saw how out-of-sorts they looked in that matchup and we wouldn't be surprised if Colorado State has a similar look tonight. We're hard-pressed to believe Fresno State will drop back-to-back home games and expect them to come out with the victory tonight. The points are simply a bonus.
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