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October 8, 2020

There is one college football pick tonight.  

 

Take Tulane +7 spread against Houston for 3% of the bankroll.
 

Determining Factors:

-Houston's defense ranked near the bottom in the country last season in several major catergories:

-288.4 yards through the air
-467.5 total yards
-34 points per game

While they may be improved this season, they have yet to play a game as of yet this year. It will take some time for the defense to become accustomed to playing at "game-speed".

-Having not played a game, the question needs to be asked how in "game shape" are the players going to be? Tulane already has 3-games under their belt and are predominately a ground and pound team. Conditioning on both the defensive line as well as on the indivdual players in the secondary will come into play as Tulane tries to run the ball outside for 4-quarters.

Final thoughts:

-Tulane should be able to control the line of scrimmage and have their way on the ground. If they can manage the tempo and avoid giving up big plays down field, they certainly have the abaility to win this game outright. This is simply too many points for Houston to be giving up with so many unknowns.




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