January 3, 2019
There is one NBA pick tonight.
Sacramento Kings +3.5 spread against Denver Nuggets for 3% of the bankroll.
The Denver Nuggets have been one of the surprise teams this season. Despite battling a number of injuries, they still find themselves holding on to a narrow lead over the Golden State Warriors atop the Western Conference standings and appear to be getting healthier with the return of both Paul Millsap and Gary Harris to the rotation, which makes them an incredibly dangerous team.
That being said, we believe the spot is right tonight for another (somewhat) surprising team to pull off the victory. The Sacramento Kings played well in the early part of the season, however, they have struggled a bit recently, losing three of their last 4, with their most recent loss coming in somewhat heartbreaking fashion. The Kings stormed back from a 14-point deficit to the Portland Trail Blazers, only to give up the lead in the later stages and take the loss. Their inability to close out the game really cost them in that matchup and we believe they are going to use that as motivation in this contest.
Even though the Nuggets have been solid on the defensive side of the ball, they have struggled mightily on the road, going 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games away from home. Against what is a young, talented, and (now) motivated Sacramento team, we expect Denver to get the very best that the Kings have to offer tonight. This is also a revenge game for Sacramento, after Denver came away with a win earlier at home. After their most recent performance, we expect this to be the matchup where they attempt to right the ship and come away with the win. Getting more than a possession has value tonight with the home team.
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