September 29, 2018
There are 7 college football picks for Saturday's matchups!
Eastern Michigan -3 spread (buy the half point) against Northern Illinois risking 3% of bankroll.
Eastern Michigan has had some tough luck losses. They are the type of team that always comes close to breaking through, but seems to always fall short of the finish line. They have a nice win on their resume this season, stunning Purdue earlier in the season and just narrowly fell short by a field goal at San Deigo State in their most recent contest.
For the better part of the decade, Northern Illinois has been the big-name team to beat in the MAC. That being said, they are a team that has taken a step back recently and have been living on their namesake for the better part of the last two seasons.
Eastern Michingan is the better offensive team, while Northern Illinois has the better defense. While many say that defense wins championships, not many people say that defense wins individual games. Offense rules this contest as Eastern Michigan recovers from their loss at San Diego State and comes away with a win over an over-hyped Huskies team.
UAB -16.5 spread against Charlotte risking 3% of the bankroll.
The UAB Blazers should arguable be undefeated but suffered a somewhat "shocking loss" to a Coastal Carolina team that we believe is underrated. That loss is what we believe is going to fuel them in this contest.
The Charlotte 49ers are fresh off a blowout loss against the struggling UMass Minutemen in a game that wasn't really a close as the final score indicated. The 49ers found themselves in a 28-0 hole within the first 6 minutes of the contest and never got within 17 points for the entire 49 minutes. That makes it extremely difficult to trust this team against what should be a motivated Blazer team.
Charlotte has a good run defense, but it will certainly be tested in this contest against a Blazer team that ranks 4th in the nation. They have also been extremely susceptible to the pass, which should also work in UAB's favor. We simply don't see too many situations where Charlotte stay competitive in this contest. Unless they can score late in garbage time, UAB should walk away with a 20+ point victory at home.
Marshall -3 spread (buy the half point) against Western Kentucky risking 3% of the bankroll.
The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are not the Jeff Brohm led team s in years past. They have been struggling on both the offensive and defensive side of the ball and we feel they will be overmatched once again in this contest.
The Western Ketucky offense has simply no been a well-oiled machine as it has been in years past and will struggle to keep pace on the scoreboard with MArshall. The staple of the Hilltoppers this season has been their defnese, however, with just one win on the season, we don't beleive that will be enough. Even though Marshall is on the road, they should do enough on offense create speeration on the scorebaord and come away with the win and cover.
Florida Atlantic -3 spread against Middle Tennessee State risking 3% of the bankroll.
Lane Kiffin’s Florida Atlantics Owls have had a tough go of it this season. they have faced some of the elite of the Power 5 conferences and have looked overmatched in each, however, it’s that experience that we believe will give them the advantage in this contest.
The Owls dominated conference play last year and decided to take a step up in their conference schedule this season. Their losses have been bad; however, they were almost expected. They have proven that they are a long way from hanging with the big dogs, however, in conference play, they have been a different animal.
This is Kiffin’s chance to show the world that his team is the best in the conference and they should have no issues imposing their will in this contest. Their recent results should skew public perception, and this is the opportunity to get the Owls at a discount. This one really should be close as FAU takes a step down in competition and shows just how good of a team they are.
Penn State +4 spread against Ohio State risking 3% of the bankroll.
There has been a lot of hype surround the Ohio State Buckeyes and their new flashy QB, Dwayne Haskins. Urban Meyer is back on the sidelines after suspension and the Buckeyes once again appear to be among the elite in the Big 10.
The issue here is that Penn State has gone somewhat un-noticed. Saquon Barley is now a NY Giant and after a close win over App State to start the season, seemingly everyone has forgotten about the Nittany Lions.
This is still a very dangerous Penn State team and Trace McSorley is not a player that should be overlooked. Ohio State is flashy with their big plays downfield, however Penn State is arguably the more fundamentally sound team. Happy Valley will be in a White Out condition in this contest and despite how impressive the Buckeyes have been, that is a tough task to undertake. We wouldn't be surprised if Penn State pulled the upset, but at the very least, they should be able to hang within a TD at home in this contest.
Notre Dame -5 spread against Stanford risking 3% of the bankroll.
The Stanford Cardinal should count themselves fortunate to be in this position tonight. They are coming off what could only be called an improbable victory over the Oregon Ducks in Eugene a week ago. That matchup wasn't so much about what Stanford did to win the game, but more so all the mistakes that the ducks made to give it away. Let’s not forget, the Ducks were on their way to blow out Stanford before the momentum shifted and if that had happened, there wouldn't be much of a question about this matchup.
Back to back tough road games are going to be too much for Stanford to handle. Brian Kelly's team seemingly have new life after Brandon Wimbush was benched and Ian Brook too over under center. Brook is a much different kind of QB and gives the Irish a way to throw the ball downfield. Add that new wrinkle in with their already potent ground game, and that makes Notre Dame incredibly balanced.
Stanford was outgunned last week, but managed to somehow win the game, we don't believe that will be the case tonight. South Bend, at night, is an incredibly tough place to play. Notre Dame will do what the Ducks could not, and they should win this game handily.
Oregon -2 spread against California risking3% of the bankroll.
This is an interesting spot for the Ducks. The entire world watched as the Ducks choked away a 31-7 lead over the Stanford Cardinal to ultimately lose in overtime. It was a game that the Ducks controlled from start to finish, and now they must travel on the road to face an undefeated Cal team.
There are a lot of people who watched that game and believe Oregon is going to have letdown and that they will be overlooking Cal. We don't believe that will be the case. This is a good Oregon team, who let one slip away. It happens in the world of sports. we believe that loss is going to motivate them in this contest and we are likely to see the best performance of the season tonight.
Cal is coming off a bye and has the luxury of playing at home, however, it will not be enough. Oregon's offense is simply too potent to be held in check for a full 4 quarters and Cal will have trouble scoring as their offense remains inconsistent.
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