September 18, 2018
There is one MLB pick tonight.
Chicago White Sox (+250) on the ML against Cleveland Indians risking 3% to win 7.50%.
(Rodon and Kluber must start for wager to have action)
There is no question that these two teams are on opposite sides of the spectrum this season, however, we do believe this matchup presents value on the White Sox given the fact that they are receiving better than 2:1 odds in this contest.
Cleveland is definitely worthy of being the favorites in this matchup, however, they just recently clinched a spot in the playoffs and have very little to play for during the remainder of the regular season. Their biggest goals now should be to conserve their players and avoid injury. Corey Kluber is the unquestioned 'Ace" of this team, however, he will be pitching on more than 6 days’ rest, which is a situation that hasn't been favorable to Cleveland. He has also been much more hittable towards the later part of the season and is coming off an outing where he just gave up 4 earned runs to the Tampa Bay Rays in just 1.7 innings.
Carlos Rodon has been the White Sox most reliable starter this season and pitched his best game of the year against Cleveland where he held the Indians scoreless for 8 innings. He is 4-2 in his career with a 2.29 ERA and WHIP of 1.106 in 12 career starts against Cleveland. He has shown his ability to navigate this lineup and with the Cleveland players likely a bit unmotivated, a stellar outing from Rodon will likely put his team in a position to potentially 'steal' this victory.
Even though Cleveland is a heavy favorite in this game, we do believe it will be a closely contested contest which places a lot of value on the underdogs. In baseball, all it takes is one swing of the bat to alter the outcome and even if the White Sox ultimately fail to come away with the victory, there is no question that at these odds, they are showing tremendous value.
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