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November 8, 2018

There is one NBA pick tonight.

 

Golden State Warriors -5.5 spread against Milwaukee Bucks for 3% of the bankroll.

The Milwaukee Bucks managed to win their first 7-games to start the season but have since dropped two of their last 3 and we believe their early season success has somewhat overvalued them in this matchup against the Warriors.

Golden State is once against the benchmark in the Western Conference and have been playing lights out offensively since the start of the season. They are averaging 123.5 points per game on the year, while shooting 51.9% from the field and a blistering 42.3% from deep. They haven't just been winning games; they have been blowing teams out, which is an incredible feat when you think about it considering how much parity there is in the league.

As good as Milwaukee has been, a bulk of their offense continues to run through Giannis Antetokounmpo, as he is the driving force offensively for this team. Giannis in unquestionably a great talent, but even when he goes off for 30 /10/ /10, it still does not guarantee a victory for his team. The Warriors on the other hand are about as complete a team as it gets as any one of their starting-5 (well maybe 4) can go off on a given night and make up for an off-shooting night by the others. We have seen Curry go off for 40+ points, Thompson is coming off a 50-point outing, Durant is a multi-time scoring leader; there are just so many ways for this team to beat their opposition that we believe Milwaukee is going to be just a bit out of their depth tonight.

This should be an entertaining contest, however, anything short of a double-digit victory would be considered somewhat of a surprise given how superior they have bene to their competition. The line is simply too low which creates a ton of value on the Warriors, especially inside Oracle Arena.




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