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March 31, 2018

There is one pick tonight.

Take Loyola-Chicago +6 spread (buy the half point) against Michigan for 3% of the bankroll.

The Loyola-Chicago Ramblers have been the Cinderella story of this year's NCAA tournament and have made it farther than any other 11 seed team in tournament history. They will have a chance to complete their fairytale season tonight but will have to pass arguably their toughest challenge this tournament when they take on the Michigan Wolverines.

Michigan has been another surprise team this tournament, however, they are a team that has seemed to peak at exactly the right time. They come into this matchup having won 13 straight and are the best defensive team left of the final four. They will pose a challenge to the Ramblers; however, we believe their style of play lends itself well to Loyola in this matchup.

The Ramblers are also a team that is survived by its defense and because they have been so good in that area of their game, their offense seems to always be overlooked. Loyola-Chicago rivals Villanova as the most efficient team shooting from the field. They rely on solid ball movement to find the open shooter and that has resulted in them being able to get good looks and take high percentage shots. The Wolverines on the other hand are not as offensively efficient with the basketball and we have seen at times, even in this tournament, that their offense has let them down, but fortunately their defense was able to carry them.

The Ramblers have already faced two top-notch defenses in Miami and Tennessee in their early round matchups and were able to find success and made the necessary shots when they counted most. They are a team that thrives playing in the half court and that is exactly the type of matchup that is going to be. Both teams will play solid defense, however, we believe the Ramblers will have the edge on the offensive side of the ball. Michigan is a team that struggles when their perimeter shots are not falling, and Loyola-Chicago has the best perimeter defense that remains in the tournament.

Even though Michigan is the bigger named opponent, the Ramblers are no strangers to taking on power opponents. At this point, all the pressure is on Michigan to perform and that make Loyola extremely dangerous in this contest. They have been able to keep every game close and we don't expect anything to be different in this contest. Michigan is favored and 'expected' to win, however, Loyola should not be completely counted out. They have shocked the world multiples times already this tournament and an outright victory is not out of the realm of possibility. Even if the Ramblers magical season ends tonight, we believe that they won't make things easy and will fight to the very end and that should be enough to keep within this point spread. With the National Title game on the line, the points have a lot of value.

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