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March 10, 2018

There is one pick today. Please note that tip-off for this game is scheduled for 1:00pm EST.

Take Memphis +17 spread (buy the half point) against Cincinnati for 3% of the bankroll.

These two teams may have played in different styles of games during the tournament but find themselves matched up in the AAC Championship game.

The Cincinnati Bearcats are exactly where many expected them to be. They are playing in the conference championship, are a lock for the NCAA Tournament and even have been speculated to be a #1 seed if they capture the win today. At this point, all the pressure to perform in on the Bearcats and it wouldn't be a stretch to say that they pressure may be getting to them. Although they have made it to the final round, they have been somewhat inconsistent on the offensive side of the basketball, shooting in the low 40 percent in each of their wins. Another sputtering offensive performance in this contest will leave the backdoor open for the Memphis Tigers to hang with in number.

Memphis is somewhat fortunate to be playing in the title game as a buzzer-beater yesterday gave them the win over Tulsa. The Tigers are essentially playing with house money at the moment and their confidence must be extremely high. This is a solid opportunity for Memphis as a win would not only give them the conference championship, but it would also avenge a regular season sweep at the hands of the Bearcats.

Memphis struggled offensively in the two meeting between these teams earlier this season, putting up exactly 48 points in each contest. It is extremely difficult for a team to defeat the same opponent three times in a season and even if the Bearcats are able to win, we believe this contest will be much closer than the previous two matchups. The only way the Bearcats cover this number is if this game is a blowout and we don't see that happening. This is a title game and we expect everything to be left on the court by Memphis today. Even if they fall behind, this is a generous spread which could give Memphis some cushion in the final minutes to close the gap and sneak within this number. The value is with the points in this contest.

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