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June 28, 2018

There are two picks tonight. 

 

#1: Take Philadelphia Phillies (-120) on the ML against Washington Nationals risking 3.60% to win 3%
(Nola and Roark must start for wager to have action.)

The mid-season slump of the Nationals has continued, and their offense is nearly non-existent at this point. They were swept in their two-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays and have been held scoreless over their last 2 matchups. They have scored just a total of 39 runs over their last 12 contests which equals just over 3 runs per game on average. They have also been blanked on the scoreboard in 4 of those matchups.

Their pitching has also taken a step back as of late and has not performed nearly well enough to make up for their inconsistent offense. Over their last 12 games, their pitching has given up a total of 67 runs, for an average of 5.5 runs per game. Things likely won't get much better tonight as Tanner Roark takes the mound. Roark is just 3-7 with a 4.09 ERA through 15 starts. Over his last 3 he has been lit up, going 0-2 with an 8.16 ERA and has given up 13 earned runs in his last 14 innings of work. The Phillies also just blasted him a week ago where he allowed 6 runs in just over 4 innings of work. He is 0-2 against Philadelphia this season.

While Roark has struggled, the Phillies will send their ace, Aaron Nola to the mound tonight. Nola has been spectacular this season, going 9-2 with a respectable 2.58 ERA through 16 games. At home he has been completely dominate, going 6-0 with a 1.86 ERA. The Phillies are a perfect 7-0 at home with Nola on the mound this season.

The Phillies are coming off an impressive victory over the New York Yankees last night, blanking them on the scoreboard. We believe they could have another impressive showing against the offensively challenged Nationals tonight. The value is on the Phillies at home tonight.

 

#2: Take Cincinnati Reds (-106) on the ML against Milwaukee Brewers risking 3.36% to win 3%.
(DeSclafani and Guerra must start for wager to have action.)

The Milwaukee Brewers and Cincinnati Reds are currently on opposite ends of the are National League Central, but the last-place Reds are in the midst of their hottest stretch in the last 6 years. Cincinnati is currently the hottest team in the league right now, both at the plate and on the mound. They have won 9 of their 10 games and are averaging 6.8 runs per game during that stretch, which includes a 4-game sweep of the Chicago Cubs.

This is not only a rivalry game, but this is a revenge situation for the Reds. The Brewers have managed to win 5-straight in this series and have already swept Cincinnati in a 3-game set back in late April / early May. With the Reds playing their best baseball in a decade, this is the ideal opportunity for them to get some retribution.

Anthony DeSclafani will take the mound for Cincinnati and won his third consecutive start by holding the Cubs to two runs on three hits over a season-high 6 1/3 innings. He also gave up two runs on three hits in his previous turn at Pittsburgh. It’s certainly worth mentioning that all with all four runs in the past two starts coming via solo homers. That shows that DeSclafani has not allowed team to string together hits. If he can limit his mistakes in giving up the longball, he can make it incredibly difficult for opposing teams to score.

Given the brewers inconsistency at the plate as of late, we wouldn’t be surprised for DeSclafani to have another strong showing tonight and the Reds continue to do what they have been, and that is playing a full 9-innings of baseball. 5 of the Reds nine victories during this stretch have been come-from-behind victories. This is a team that can't be counted out at the moment and have solid value at home.




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