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June 27, 2018

There are two picks tonight. 

 

#1: Take Philadelphia Phillies (+117) on the ML against NY Yankees risking 3% to win 3.51%.
(Eflin and Cessa must start for wager to have action.)

The New York Yankees have been on an impressive tear this season and are currently neck and neck with the Boston Red Sox for the lead in the AL East. A big reason for their success this season has been due to their potent offense. That being said, their normally explosive offense has been struggling over the last week. The Yanks have scored just 29 runs over their past seven games, while batting a paltry .234 as a team during that span. 

With their offense struggling, they have relied heavily on their pitching staff the last week, but they could be at a disadvantage on the mound tonight when Luis Cessa toes the rubber. Cessa will be making his first start of the season tonight after being featured mostly in a relief role. Cessa had struggled at the major league level last season, going 0-3 with a 4.75 ERA in 10 appearances (five starts) in 2017.

The Phillies will send Zach Eflin to the mound tonight. Eflin has been on fire during the month of June, going 4-0 in four starts this month with a 2.28 ERA and 23 strikeouts in 23 ⅔ innings of work. He’s allowed two earned runs or less in all of those outings and hasn’t walked more than one batter in a start since May 19. Eflin appears to be in the best shape of his career as the right-hander is throwing harder than ever this season and it is translating to a career-high strikeout rate. Eflin has struck out a career-high 24.6 percent of the batters that he has faced this season and could be in for a strong showing tonight.

The Yankees are an incredibly dangerous team; however, they are less than in peak form in this matchup. Given their struggles on offense and what we believe to be a disadvantage on the mound, this is the ideal opportunity for the Phillies to steal a win against the Bronx Bombers.

 

#2: Take Detroit Tigers (+112) on the ML against Oakland Athletics risking 3% to win 3.36%.
(Fiers and Bassitt must start for wager to have action.)

The Detroit Tigers suffered a tough loss last night in Game 2 of this series with the Oakland A's. The Tigers raced out to a 6-0 lead in the second inning and watched the remainder of the game as the Oakland A's clawed their way back to not only tie the game, but with their 2-run 9th inning, managed to come away with the 9-7 victory. It was a tough way to lose the game, but we believe they will use that loss as motivation heading into Game 3 tonight.

The Oakland A's pitching rotation has been decimated with injuries as they just recently placed their 7th pitcher on the disabled list. The A's decided to give scheduled start Sean Manaea an extra-day of rest and instead called Chris Bassett back from Triple-A to make another spot start tonight. Bassitt lost for the third time in as many starts this season after giving up 5 runs over 5 1/3 innings to the Chicago White Sox in his last outing. Bassett's inability to navigate a lineup was one of the main reasons he was sent back to the minors, however, with the A's hurting as badly as they are, don't really have much of a choice.

Detroit's Mike Fiers isn't exactly a pitcher wo many hitters fear, however, he has been decent this season. His record is 5-4 and his ERA is a decent 4.29. Batters are hitting .273 against him and his WHIP is 1.33. These are all very average numbers, but for a team who struggles offensively, being above .500 is an accomplishment. As mediocre as Fiers has been, we do believe he should hold an advantage over his opponent tonight.

Detroit was embarrassed last night, and we believe they atone for that performance tonight. They should be able to do some damage against Bassitt in this contest and we believe that is they do get a lead in this game, they won't be so easy to give it up again. Detroit needs this victory, while Oakland is almost punting this game after giving Manaea the night off. The value is with the home team in this one.




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