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June 23, 2018

There are two picks today. One of them is a play on the Run Line (-1.5 runs)

 

#1: Take Chicago Cubs (-120) on the ML against Cincinnati Reds risking 3.60% to win 3%.
(Farrell and DeScalafini must start for wager to have action.)

The Chicago Cubs have dropped two straight to the Cincinnati Reds and are in danger of going down 0-3 in the series. We don't believe they will let that happen this afternoon. The Reds are just one of three teams in the league who own a winning record over Chicago this season (4-3) and there is no question the Cubs will want to even up the seasonal standings this afternoon.

The Cubs also have a wildcard in this game with starter Luke Farrell. Normally a pitcher who works out of the pen, Farrell will be making his first start of the season this afternoon. The 27-year-old has made 12 relief appearances this year, including one against the New York Mets on June 2 in which he worked five scoreless frames in a 14-inning victory. Farrell, who pitched out of the bullpen nine times for the Reds last season and there is no question that he would like nothing more than to have a solid showing against his former club.

The Reds have a lot of momentum on their side ahead of this contest, however, you can't overlook the fact that they are still a team that is in the basement of the National League. Even bad teams go on win streaks at various points in the season, but the Cubs are too experienced and too talented to allow a lowly team like Cincinnati get the better of them. Expect a bounce back showing from the former World Series champs this afternoon. 

 

#2: Take New York Yankees (-105) on the RL against Tampa Bay Rays risking 3.15% to win 3%.
(Gray and Font must start for wager to have action.)

The New York Yankees lost a tough one last night as the Rays managed to take a 2-1 victory at Tropicana Field. The Rays are a team that New York has dominated this season, outscoring them 31-10 to date, however, Tampa has managed to take two straight in the series, which you better believe, doesn't sit well with the Bronx Bombers.

Wilmer Font has been with three teams in 2018 and has already posted a win over this same Yankees club just a couple of weeks ago in a game at Yankee Stadium in which the Rays won 3-2.  As good as Font has looked at times, we believe he has been pitching a bit over his head.  He owns a modest 7.83 K/9 rate so far this season, but what stands out most is that he’s also allowed 3.24 homeruns per 9 innings in 17 total outings this season.

Sonny Gray will be looking to build on his previous couple of starts this afternoon. Most recently, Gray held the Washington Nationals to two runs over five innings while fanning seven to get the win his last time out, improving to 2-0 with a 2.63 era in four June starts. He also owns a 2.93 mark on the road, limiting opponents to a .228 average and recording more than a strikeout per frame in those seven outings. Gray should have the advantage over his counterpart this afternoon.

The Yankees have more home run power than any team in the MLB right now, and after seeing Font less than two weeks ago, it is hard not to expect at least a few balls to end up in the seats at the Trop. Font has allowed 24.5 percent of his fly balls to leave the yard this year, so the Yankees could be in for a highly explosive day offensively. We expect the Yankees to bounce back from last night's loss and should do so by more than a single run.




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