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June 3, 2018

There are two picks today.
 

#1: Take Tampa Bay Rays (-110) on the ML against Seattle Mariners risking 3.30% to win 3%.
(Snell and Hernandez must start for wager to have action.)

Blake Snell has been one of the most underrated starters in baseball this season. The left-hander has gone 7-3 with a 2.56 ERA and 0.995 WHIP in 12 starts for the Rays, including 3-0 with a 0.96 ERA and 0.872 WHIP in his last three. He has managed to cut down on the walks and increased his strikeout rate in 2018, while limiting opposing hitters to just .187 so far this season. Snell has also had success against the Mariners in the past as he is 1-1 with an impressive 0.87 ERA in two career starts against Seattle.

Felix Hernandez once was considered one of the most feared pitchers in all of baseball, however, the King has continued his downhill slide this season. He is 5-4 with a 5.83 ERA and 1.402 WHIP in 12 starts this year, including 0-1 with a 6.35 ERA and 1.353 WHIP in his last three. He has lost the velocity that once made him a great pitcher and because of that, he has become much more hittable.

Tampa has dropped the first two games of this series and will be highly motivated to avoid the sweep. They haven't had much success at Safeco Field, losing 8 straight, but we believe that will only add to their motivation. They have the edge on the mound this afternoon with Snell and should be able to come away with the closely contested victory.

 

#2: Take San Diego Padres (-105) on the ML against Cincinnati Reds risking 3.15% to win 3%.
(Ross and Castillo must start for wager to have action.)

The San Diego Padres have long been known as a 'poor' team and if you are judging by their overall 26-34 record at the moment, you would likely assume that is the case once again this season. That being said, given the struggles of teams in the NL West this season, the Padres are still (shockingly) within striking distance of first place within the division. In years' past, the Padres have typically found themselves well out of postseason contention and in a similar position that the Reds find themselves in now.

Cincinnati is currently 16 games out of first place and their postseason hopes have been all but mathematically erased. They have struggled both on the mound and at the plate and we don't see thing changing in this contest as San Diego has a huge edge on the mound with Tyson Ross taking the hill. Ross is 4-3 on the season with a respectable 3.43 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. San Diego is 8-3 when he has taken the mound this season, including winning 4 straight. Ross has never lost to the Reds in his career, going a perfect 4-0 with a 1.29 ERA and WHIP of 0.96.

Luis Castillo will take the mound for Cincinnati and he has struggled mightily this season. He is 4-5 with an unflattering 6.49 ERA and WHIP of 1.44 in 12 starts this season. He has been even worse on the road, as his ERA balloons up to 6.49 and his WHIP inflates to 1.50 in 7 road appearances. He has also given up twice as many homeruns as his counterpart, despite Ross throwing more innings this season.

The Padres unquestionably have the edge on the mound in this matchup and should be much bigger favorites because of it. Castillo has been one of the more hittable pitchers in the league this season and as long as the Padres offense doesn't go cold, they should come away with this victory at home.




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