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July 30, 2018

There is one pick tonight.

 

Take Minnesota Twins (+118) on the ML against Cleveland Indians risking 3% to win 3.54%
(Santana and Bieber must start for wager to have action)

This is an important series for the Minnesota Twins who just dropped three straight games to the Boston Red Sox in their most recent series. Minnesota currently trails the Cleveland Indians by 9 games in the division, and this series could help them game some ground on their rivals. They have had a fair amount of success against Cleveland as well, having won 5 of the last 6 meetings. We believe they will have an advantage tonight, not only because they are now back home, but also because the pitching matchup looks to be in their favor.

Rookie Shane Bieber has not been spectacular in his recent start, allowing four or more runs in each of his last four starts. He has given up 14 runs in 14 innings of work and is allowing opponents to bat .310 against him overall. He is coming off the worst start of his career, giving up 7 earned runs in just over 1 inning of work. It will be interesting to see how the rookie bounces back from a performance like that, but we believe he will be a bit tentative on the mound.

Ervin Santana has missed the first half of the season while recovering from surgery in the offseason. He has just one game under his belt this season, and while he wasn't ace material, he did strike out five guys in five innings and allowed only three. Santana is only going to get better with more reps, and he should be much more comfortable at home in this contest.

Back on June17th, Bieber managed to hold the Twins to just a single earned run, however, he did allow a season-high 10 hits in that contest. The Minnesota bats had issues leaving men on base and while they were hitting, they weren't stringing the timely hits together to plate runs. We believe things will be different in this contest. Minnesota will be looking to end their three-game losing streak and this may be their prime opportunity to do so against a struggling pitcher. The value is with Minnesota tonight.




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