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July 29, 2018

There are two picks today.  

 

#1: Take Minnesota Twins (+137) on the ML against Boston Red Sox risking 3% to win 4.11%
(Berrios and Eovaldi must start for wager to have action)

Nathan Eovaldi was scheduled to pitch in this matchup, but not for the team that he was expecting. Eovaldi was traded from the Twins to the Red Sox and will now have the opportunity to face his former teammates and adds an interesting dynamic to this matchup.

With this being his first start in a Red Sox uniform at Fenway Park, all the pressure is on Eovaldi to perform. Boston can be a brutal market for a player to call home, and we have seen many superstars crumble under the pressure that playing in this type of market brings. What makes things worse for Eovaldi, is he is not a superstar. He has been mediocre at best this season, coming into this contest with a 3-4 record and 4.26 ERA. He has been hittable, and we expect that he will struggle in his first start this afternoon against his former teammates, especially considering he has a career 6.83 ERA in his starts against Minnesota.

The Minnesota Twins have made this a series with the Red Sox thus far, taking the series opener, before dropping a heart-breaker in the second game of the series. They will have a chance for a split this afternoon and have a great chance to get it with Jose Berrios on the mound who is coming off a spectacular performance, going 7 strong innings and not giving up a single run. It's tough to keep the potent Red Sox offense in check, but if Berrios can at least mitigate the damage, the Twins should have a chance to take this game.

 

#2: Take Oakland Athletics (+116) on the ML against Colorado Rockies risking 3% to win 3.48%
(Montas and Marquez must start for wager to have action)

The Colorado Rockies have been one of the hottest teams in the league over the past few weeks, however, we expect that they will cool off in this contest as they end their series with the Oakland A's. Oakland has dropped the first two games of this series and will be looking to avoid the sweep this afternoon which we believe will add to their motivation in this contest.

Oakland has been one of the best road offenses in the league this season, yet their normally potent offense has been held in check by the Rockies' pitching staff. Colorado has never been known for their prowess on the mound, which is why we find it somewhat unusual that the A's have not had more success at Coos Field in this series. With their offense being held in check, we expect this game is where they finally break out of their funk and put some runs on the board.

German Marquez has been horrendous at Coors Field this season, going just 3-5 with an inflated 7.31 ERA and 1.854 WHIP. Oakland should be able to find success off him this afternoon. Also, the Rockies bullpen has pitched well this series, however, they have a combined 5.81 ERA at home in Coors Field this season. There is a reason the oddsmakers have put the O/U on this game at 12 runs and we believe Marquez is one of them. As underdogs once again in this contest, the value is on the A's.




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