July 21, 2018
There are two picks tonight.
#1: Take Atlanta Braves (+140) on the ML against Washington Nationals risking 3% to win 4.20%
(Newcomb and Gonzalez must start for wager to have action)
Just like last night, we believe there is simply too much value on the Atlanta Braves to pass up as they play the second game of their series. Atlanta managed to come away with the victory last night in Game 1, and we expect that momentum to carry over into this contest.
After starting the season in impressive fashion and being in contention for a possible NL All-Star spot, Sean Newcomb struggling heading into the All-Star break, losing all three outings in July, while posting a 9.75 ERA with 12 walks and four homers allowed in 12 innings. Prior to that however, he had been sensational, going 7-1 with a 2.07 ERA. With the extra time off, we expect Newcomb to get back to form and have a stellar showing tonight.
Gio Gonzalez has performed almost directly opposite of Newcomb and had a very strong finish to the break, posting a 3.94 ERA in July. Prior to that however, he had been shaky at-best, going 0-3 with an 8.44 ERA and six homers allowed in five outings the previous month. Both pitchers have shown flashes of brilliance as well as their ability to struggle. This matchup will likely come down to which pitcher makes the least number of mistakes on the mound.
It's no secret that Washington has been struggling and until they shown some signs of life, both on the mound and at the plate, they are a dangerous team to back at such high odds. Atlanta has been playing better baseball as of late and have the momentum of a win last night. The value is on them as underdogs tonight.
#2: Take San Francisco Giants (+125) on the ML against Oakland A's risking 3% to win 3.75%
(Bumgarner and Cahill must start for wager to have action)
We are surprised that the San Francisco Giants are listed as the underdogs in this contest. Madison Bumgarner is the unquestioned Ace of the rotation and since coming back from the DL, hasn't shown any signs of giving up that spot in the near future.
He has had a tremendous amount of success in his career against the A's, going 4-2 with a 4.62 ERA in 6 career starts. He most recently faced off against the A's on July 13th where he went 6 innings, giving up just a single earned run in a game the Giants won 7-1. He has been especially effective in holding the A's power-bats in check, limiting Mark Canha, Matt Olson, and Matt Chapman to a combined a .138 batting average with 8 strikeouts.
Trevor Cahill will get the start for the A's tonight and has struggled since making his return to the rotation. In his last 8 innings of work, he has given up 7 earned runs! He is a veteran; however, Andrew McCutchen has been a thorn in his side. McCutchen sports a lifetime .500 average against Cahill with a homerun, 3 doubles and 5 RBIs in 12 appearances.
The Giants' offense has been inconsistent all season, however, with Bumgarner on the mound it likely won't take too many runs to win this game. The Giants bats should do enough against a struggling Cahill to give them a solid underdog victory.
Please refer to the important SPS Bankroll System instructions received via email upon joining.