July 14, 2018
There are three picks today.
#1: Take Tampa Bay Rays (+121) on the ML against Minnesota Twins risking 3% to win 3.63%.
(Archer and Berrios must start for wager to have action.)
The Minnesota Twins have managed to win the first two games of this 4-game series and have slowed the momentum of the Rays down, that being said, we believe Tampa has the advantage in this contest, not only from a motivational perspective, but also on the mound.
Chris Archer simply owns the Twins in his career, going 6-1 with a 1.95 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in 8 lifetime starts against them. Tampa has also gone 7-1 against Minnesota when Archer has been on the mound with 4 of those wins coming on the road. Before suffering an abdominal strain that caused him some time on the DL, Archer had held seven of his previous nine opponents to two runs or less this season and given his success against Minnesota, should be in for a quality outing this afternoon.
Meanwhile, Jose Berrios is the ace of the Twins, but let's not forget that he is 1-2 with a 4.91 ERA in his last 3 starts. The Rays are also a team that he has struggled with, going 0-2 with an 8.10 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts.
Tampa had been playing exceptionally well prior to this series and are now in danger of possibly facing a 3-0 hole to the Twins. They will certainly want to claw their way back into the series and at this price, the value is on the Rays.
#2: Take Texas Rangers (+100) on the ML against Baltimore Orioles risking 3% to win 3%.
(Perez and Ramirez must start for wager to have action.)
The Texas Rangers managed to win the season opener by a score of 5-4 last night and we believe that momentum will carry over as they continue their series with a struggling Baltimore Orioles team.
The Orioles have had a dismal season and have now lost 3 straight and 10 of 13 games in the month of July. Their pitching has been terrible, and we don't believe they will get any relief in this contest as they send Jefrey Ramirez to the mound.
Ramirez is 0-3 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.5000 WHIP in 3 starts overall and has a 7.56 ERA and 2.041 WHIP at home. The Rangers bats have been seeing the ball often and should have no issues piling up runs in this contest.
If there was a wildcard in this matchup it would be Texas pitcher, Martin Perez. Perez has been on the DL for the last couple of months nursing his recently surgically repaired elbow but is scheduled to make the start tonight. Perez was not good in the early part of the season, but if he is feeling as good as the media states, he should have the advantage on the mound in this contest. It will be interesting to see how he performs, but even if he struggles, the Rangers' offense should be able to make up for any mistakes he makes on the mound.
Baltimore is simply not a good team and should not be listed as the favorites against any opponent at the moment, let alone one as dangerous as the Rangers. The value is on Texas in this contest.
#2: Take Cleveland Indians (-107) on the ML against NY Yankees risking 3.21% to win 3%.
(Clevinger and Sabathia must start for wager to have action.)
The Cleveland Indians are showing a lot of value at home at nearly even odds against the Yankees in this matchup.
Mike Clevinger has been one of the most underrated starters in baseball over the past two seasons, especially at home in Cleveland. He is 7-4 with a 3.34 ERA and 1.233 WHIP in 18 starts this season and has posted a 2.46 ERA and 0.682 WHIP in one career start against the Yankees as well.
C.C. Sabathia on the other hand is an aging veteran who we feel is pitching well above his talent level this season thus far, going 6-4 with a 3.34 ERA and 1.283 WHIP in 17 starts. That being said he has been far from unbeatable on the road this season. The Yankees have managed to win just one of his last 5 on the road where he is just 2-3 with a 4.42 ERA and 1.397 WHIP in seven starts away from home.
Both of these team’s offenses have the ability to put up runs, however, we believe Clevinger will do a better job at keeping the potent Yankees offense at bay, while his team should be able to do some damage against what should be a tiring Sabathia.
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