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July 4, 2018

There are two picks today. One of the plays in on the Run Line (-1.5 runs).


#1: Take Seattle Mariners (+180) on the RL against LA Angels risking 3% to win 5.40%
(Leake and Richards must start for wager to have action.)

These are currently two teams heading in opposite directions. The Seattle Mariners continue to impress and find ways to win ball games. They are currently in a back and forth battle with the Houston Astros for the top spot in the AL West.

The Los Angeles Angels however continue to spiral out of control after their hot start to the season. They are just 30-39 since their impressive run to open the year and have fallen into the basement of the AL West, 12 games behind their opponents this afternoon. We don't see things getting much better for LA in this matchup.

Simply put the Angels have been horrible on the road as of late, losing 11 of its their 15 away from home and 4 of their last 5 in Seattle. On the other hand, the Mariners have won 28 of 42 home games and come into this matchup having won 8 straight.

The Mariners are one of the hottest teams in baseball at the moment and are throwing out a pitcher in Mike Leake, who has been one of the more consistent, under-the-radar pitchers in the entire league this season. Leake has allowed 2 runs or less in 8 of his last 10 starts and just 2 combined runs in his last 15 innings. The Mariners are 16-6 when he has taken the mound since coming over from St. Louis a season ago.

Seattle has been known to play in some closely contested games this season and currently leads the league in games decided by a single run, however, given their ability to win ball games and their lengthy winning streak, combined with the Angels inability to win on the road lately, at nearly 2-to-1 odds, there is a lot of value in expecting the Mariners to not only win, but to do so by more than a single run.


#2: Take San Francisco Giants (+108) on the ML against Colorado Rockies risking 3% to win 3.24%
(Suarez and Anderson must start for wager to have action.)

The San Francisco Giants will be looking to avoid being swept as Coors Field as they face off against the Rockies in their series finale tonight. Colorado has yet to sweep a team in a 3-game series this season and we don't believe the Giants will allow themselves to be the first ones this afternoon, especially since they should have a pitching advantage in this contest when Andrew Suarez squares off against Tyler Anderson.

Suarez improved to 2-0 during his seven-start unbeaten streak on last week, when he allowed just one run and seven hits over six innings at Arizona. The 25-year-old rookie has given up more than two runs only twice during the stretch while serving up just three home runs over 39 1/3 innings. Suarez's streak began on May 28, coincidentally enough in this venue, where he escaped with a no-decision after yielding four runs and five hits over five innings in his first career outing versus the Rockies.

Tyler Anderson on the other hand avoided a third consecutive loss and came up big as he scattered four hits over a career-high eight scoreless innings in a victory over the Dodgers in Los Angeles. That victory wasn't all that surprising as Anderson has been fantastic on the road this season, going a perfect 4-0, but has struggled at home, going 1-3 with a 5.26 ERA in seven starts. Anderson has yet to defeat the Giants in his career, going 0-2 with a 5.56 ERA in four starts, including a no-decision at San Francisco on May 20 in which he surrendered five runs and six hits over 5 1/3 innings.

While the Giants haven't been an overpowering offensive team this season, Coors field is certainly a hitter’s ballpark and given their past success against Anderson, they should find enough offense this afternoon to put up some runs and avoid the sweep.

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