January 17, 2018
There is one pick tonight.
Take Alabama +2 spread (buy the half point) against Auburn for 3% of the bankroll.
The Auburn Tigers have been an impressive team to start the season and are currently riding a 14-game winning streak. They are currently sitting atop the conference, undefeated in SEC play and have only 1 loss on the season. As impressive as this team has been, they have not been unbeatable during this win streak. A big reason for the Tigers' success this season has been because of the "heart" they play with as a team. In more than one occasion, they have been down on the scoreboard to their opponents (sometimes by hefty margins) yet they have found a way to battle back and win the game. The way that they play is impressive, however, eventually their good fortunes are going to run out.
The fact that Alabama is an unranked team and hosting the conference kings, makes this an incredibly dangerous matchup for Auburn, especially considering that Alabama has lost three straight to their rivals. The Crimson Tide players will be extra motivated for this contest and have both the offense to keep up with Auburn and the defense to shut down their high-powered offense. The Tide play a fundamentally sound style of basketball with strict focuses on crashing the glass and getting to the charity stripe. It's this style of play that can disrupt the Tigers offense which typically likes to play in rhythm, and we believe could be the deciding factor tonight.
Auburn's win streak is impressive; however, we believe there is a strong reason the oddsmakers had opened this game as a true pick'em. The Tigers have been fortunate to pull off some victories in games where they fell behind, and we believe this will be another contest where they fall behind early. The Alabama defense has been extremely tough at home this season, holding teams to just 66.1 points per game and we believe that will be the difference maker in this contest. This matchup will likely be close, but we like the Tigers luck to run out tonight as Alabama pulls off the upset on their home court.
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