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February 23, 2018

There is one pick today.

Take Indiana +3 spread (buy the half point) against Ohio State for 3% of the bankroll.

The Indiana Hoosiers have had a down year, however, they still have a chance at potentially making the NCAA Tournament, but will need to knock off the Buckeyes in order to keep hope alive. The good news for Indiana, is that they are an extremely different team playing at Assembly Hall than they are on the road. Their only two Big Ten losses this season have come against the likes of Michigan State and Purdue and they battled in both of those matchups; we believe they will do the same tonight. The Hoosiers had won four consecutive games, including two straight at home by double digits, before being held to their lowest point total in nearly a month in their matchup against Nebraska. Given how poorly they played in that contest, we expect the Hoosiers to bounce back tonight at home.

This is a revenge game for Indiana, who fell in Columbus, 71-56 back on Jan 30th, in what was an extremely poor performance by the team. Not only do we expect them to play much better with revenge in mind, but this is also the last game of the season for the Hoosiers, which means it is Senior Night. The Hoosiers will be honoring Robert Johnson, Josh Newkirk, Collin Hartman, Tim Priller and Freddie McSwain Jr. and we expect the crowd to be raucous tonight. This is the ideal environment for Indiana to pull off the upset, especially given Ohio State's struggles in this venue. Indiana has managed to win four of the last 5 home meetings with Ohio State.

As good as Ohio State has played this season, they have been a little shaky to end the season. They have lost their last two road games in convincing fashion, and in fact, have only been outscoring teams an average of just 2.2 points over their last five games overall. While the Hoosiers have been somewhat inconsistent, they are still a tough out at home where they play decent defense, shoot 47 percent from the field and are outscoring teams by nearly eight points per contest. We fully expect Indiana to pull off the outright victory tonight, but even if they don't, we expect them to remain competitive, in which the points could come into play.  

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