February 21, 2018
There is one pick today.
Take Auburn -7 spread (buy the half point) against Alabama for 3% of the bankroll.
The Alabama Crimson Tide is a talented team, there is certainly no question about that. They have an impressive resume on the year, beating the likes of Tennessee by 28, Texas A&M by 22, won at Florida by 18 and even hold a win over their opponents tonight, the Auburn Tigers. But as good as Avery Johnson's team has looked at times this season, they have put up some inconsistent performances, losing at Vanderbilt, got destroyed by Georgia, lost by 16 to Texas and suffered a home loss to Central Florida. It's those type of performances that lead us to believe they will struggle in this rematch on the road.
This is unquestionably a revenge match for the Tigers and there is no question that Alabama holds a special place in the Auburn players' hearts as they were their first loss on the season. Alabama upset Auburn on their home court, but we can't see them sweeping their rivals and picking up the win on the road. The Tigers have been fantastic at home this season, going 13-1 overall and averaging 89.1 points per game. Alabama meanwhile has struggled on the road, going just 3-7 and are shooting just 42.6% from the field and 26.9% from deep. The Crimson Tide are a team that is survived by their defense and we simply don't see them having enough to slow this explosive Auburn offense down in a revenge type setting.
The Alabama defense may have success early on in this contest, but it will be only a matter of time before the Tigers' offense starts to find their rhythm, and when they do, we don't believe Alabama will be able to keep up on the scoreboard. This game will be close in the early going, but the Tigers will pull away in the second half and coast to a double-digit victory tonight.
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