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February 3, 2018

There is one pick today.
 

Take Massachusetts +3 spread (buy the half point) against Dayton for 3% of the bankroll.

The UMass Minutemen come into this matchup with the Dayton Flyers on a 5-game losing streak. While that may deter much of the public from backing this team, we believe it provides a great opportunity for value. UMass showed signs of life in their most recent defeat, narrowly falling by 2-points to a ranked Rhode Island team on their home court. We believe that performance was a turning point for the players and should come into this matchup extremely motivated to end their recent skid.

The last time the Minutemen faced the Flyers, it was one of their best performances of the season and sparked a 3-game winning streak. UMass managed to defeat Dayton on the road and with this game now being played at the Mullins Center, we believe that will give the UMass players even more of an advantage in this contest and should have their confidence level high.

The Dayton Flyers are not the same tournament busting team that they had been in year's past and they have struggled on the road this season, going just 1-5 in true road games this season. The flyers also head into this matchup struggling, dropping three of their last 4 contests. At this point it is hard to trust either of these teams, however, Dayton has not been as competitive in their losses as UMass has been. The Flyers are averaging 6 less points away from home this season, while the Minutemen average 5 more points at home in the Mullins Center. UMass should also have the advantage on the boards and we believe with the crowd behind them, that will be enough to carry them to the outright victory.




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