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December 26, 2018

There is one college football pick tonight.   

 

California -1 spread (buy the half point) against TCU for 3% of the bankroll.

TCU has been a perennial powerhouse in the Big 12, however, they have fallen on hard times over the past few seasons. This has been yet another disappointing season for Gary Patterson's club, who narrowly made it to a bowl game by winning their final 2 games of the season to finish the year 6-6. While they are certainly fortunate to be playing in this game, we have to wonder exactly how motivated they will be in this contest after such a disappointing season.

The Cal Golden Bears on the other hand are a team that is on the rise. Under second year head coach, Justin Wilcox, the Bears are going bowling for just the first time since 2015 when Jared Goff was at the helm. This is a much different Cal team than in years past, with a much more focused effort on the defensive side of the ball. This is a team that will gladly be welcoming the challenge of going up against a big0named program like TCU and should certainly have the motivational edge in this one.

Motivation is a huge part of handicapping bowl games. Some teams welcome the challenge of playing their final game, looking to build on the future, while others simply want their season to end. We believe that is the tale of this matchup. TCU doesn't have much to play for and this game certainly means much more to a rebuilding Cal program with a young head coach. Both teams survive on their defense, but Cal has been the team with a much more trusted front. Cal should generate just enough offense against a suspect TCU defense to come away with the win and cover. The value is on the Golden Bears tonight.




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