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December 6, 2018

There is one college basketball pick tonight.

 

Purdue -8 spread against Maryland for 3% of the bankroll.

This is a matchup where we believe perception plays a big part. The Maryland terrapins have started the season much better than anyone had expected, especially considering their rotation consists mostly of freshman and sophomores. They are 7-1 on the young season and have posted some quality wins along the way, backed by their stifling defense.

Purdue, on the other hand, started the season out strong, but have struggled as of late, going just 1-3 in their last 4, while dropping out of the top 25. While most people will look at Purdue's recent struggles and assume that they are a playing poorly at the moment, it's worth mentioning that their losses are understandable given the competition they have played.

This is actually a very good spot for the Boilermakers at home. They are a sharpshooting team from the outside and shouldn't be overly affected by the style of defense that Maryland has shown they like to play. The fact that they are playing at home should only give them an added benefit. This is only Maryland's second true road game of the year and we believe that is going to be the deciding factor. With such a young team, we expect that the crowd is going to get them rattled once the outside shooter of Purdue finds their stroke. We have seen team crumble under the pressure of playing on the road and that is what we believe will happen tonight.

This is an ideal situation to buy low on Purdue, given their recent struggles, while selling high on a Maryland team that has exceeded expectations thus far. Maryland will have a hard time keeping up with the outside shooting of the Boilermakers and that should lead to Purdue winning this one fairly convincingly by double-digits. 




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