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August 17, 2018

There is one pick tonight.  

 

Take Seattle Mariners (+113) on the ML against LA Dodgers risking 3% to win 3.39%.
(Leblanc and Buehler must start for wager to have action)

We don't believe the LA Dodgers should be the favorites in this contest. They have not been playing well as of late, having dropped 5 of their last 6 games while scoring 4 or less runs in 11 of their last 12.

They will be sending Walker Buehler to the mound tonight and while he has certainly been impressive in his rookie year, the fact remains that he has been a much better pitcher at home this season than on the road. His road ERA is 4.13 and this is a big spot in a big series late in the season and that might be just too much pressure for the rookie to handle.

Meanwhile, the Mariners will send Wade Leblanc to the mound tonight, who has been nearly unbeatable at home this season. He is 6-1 with a 3.12 ERA and 0.971 WHIP in 10 home starts this season. Seattle is an impressive 15-1 in his last 16 starts at home dating back to last season.

The only reason that the Mariners are not the favorites in this contest is because of Leblanc's historically poor record against the Dodgers as he is just 1-7 in 11 career meeting (9 starts) in his career. That being said, this feels like a different kind of season for Leblanc and we believe he would like nothing more than to atone for his recent showing against LA and finally notch a quality win against his rivals. This is a big game series for both teams, but we believe the M's have the edge in this contest and will pull out the win in the series opener tonight. The value is on Seattle in this one.




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