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April 11, 2018

There is one MLB pick today. Please note that first pitch is scheduled for 3:45pm EST.  
 

Take Arizona Diamondbacks (-121) on the ML against San Francisco Giants risking 3.63% to win 3%.
(Ray and Suarez must start for wager to have action.) 

We took a tough loss last night as Andrew McCutchen hit a walk-off single in the bottom of the 9th inning to give San Francisco a 5-4 victory last night. It was a fortunate victory for the Giants, especially considering we were accurate with our assessment of rookie Tyler Beede. Beede walked 5 batters in just 4 innings of work, however, the Arizona bats could only amass 2 runs on 4 hits, despite the numerous mistakes made by the rookie. The Diamondbacks let a rookie off the hook last night, we don't expect them to do the same thing this afternoon.

The injuries are starting to pile up in the pitching rotation for the Giants. Johnny Cueto was again scheduled to start this contest; however, it had been decided that he will move to the disabled list instead. In his place the Giants will send yet another rookie making his first Major League start. Andrew Suarez was selected by the Giants in the second round of the 2015 draft and has gone 21-18 with a 3.20 ERA in 62 games (57 starts) in the minors. Suarez competed for a spot in the rotation during spring training but was demoted after recording a 7.62 ERA in 13 innings of work. Suarez had a 2.96 ERA in 11 starts for Double-A Richmond last season before moving up to Triple-A Sacramento, where he posted a 3.55 ERA in 15 games (13 starts). He has shown a progression of struggling at the higher levels and we expect that to be the case once again in this game. The DBacks gave a rookie a bit of reprieve yesterday and should be motivated to not make that same mistake for a second consecutive day.

Robbie Ray will look to build on his most recent outing in which he allowed 2 hits and a single run with 9 strikeouts over 6 innings against St. Louis to improve to 2-0 on the season. Ray is an impressive 9-1 with a 1.84 ERA in his last 16 road starts dating back to the beginning of last season. He has had quite a bit of success against the Giants in his career, going 4-1 with a 2.52 ERA and WHIP of 1.295 over 8 career starts. Given his past (and recent) performances, Ray should have little issue navigating through the Giants lineup.

Arizona is a perfect 5-0 against left-handed pitchers this season, 2-0 after a loss and 2-1 in games played during the day. They should bounce back in this contest and there is good value backing them at these reasonable odds.




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