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April 7, 2018

There is one MLB pick tonight.

Take Atlanta Braves (+125) on the ML against Colorado Rockies risking 3% to win 3.75%.
(Sanchez and Bettis must start for wager to have action.) 

For most teams, Coors Field is a daunting place to play. Given the thin air environment and the historical explosiveness of the Colorado Rockies bats, it can be an intimidating venue for opponents. That being said, given the way that the Atlanta bats have exploded to start the season, we expect them to thrive in this environment. We saw a glimpse of that last night when Atlanta managed to come away with an 8-3 victory last night and we wouldn't be surprised to see a similar result in this contest.

Anibal Sanchez will take the mound for the Braves in his first start of the season. While there is no question that Sanchez's best years are behind him, he did look good in his first appearance this season, a 3-inning relief effort against the Nationals in which he gave up just a single hit and zero earned runs. To be able to keep a potent offense like the Nats at bay should give him confidence in navigating this Rockies lineup. Sanchez has had success against Colorado in the past, going 4-0 with an impressive 1.77 ERA and WHIP of .0869 over 5 career starts.

Chad Bettis will take the mound for the Rockies and is coming of a solid outing in his first appearance, surrendering 2 runs over 5 innings against the San Diego Padres. The Rockies are expecting big things from Bettis this season; however, he is a career 4.50 ERA pitcher and has yet to finish the season with an ERA under 4.00. He has struggled against the Braves in his career, going just 3-2 with a 3.92 ERA and WHIP od 1.427 over 7 career starts. Given the way the Atlanta bats are seeing the ball, we expect that he will give up some runs in this contest.

Even if Bettis is able to outduel Sanchez on the mound, the Braves should have a distinct advantage with their bullpen. Their relief pitching has been stellar to start the season, combining for just a 1.45 ERA through their first 7 games. Meanwhile, the Colorado pen has been somewhat suspect, combining for a 4.85 and surrendering 17 runs in their first 8 games. If the Braves can keep this game close in the early stages, they should have a chance to generate some offense once the Rockies' relievers take the mound.

Atlanta is playing the better baseball at the moment and the only reason the Rockies are the favorites is due to this game being played in Coors Field. This is an evenly matched contest; however, the edge must be given to the Braves simply due to the fact that they are getting production from nearly everywhere in their lineup. They are showing great value as underdogs in this contest and we expect that they continue their stellar play and pick up another victory.

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