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October 25, 2017

There is one pick tonight.


Take Houston Astros (-110) on the ML against Los Angeles Dodgers risking 3.3% to win 3%.
(Verlander and Hill must start for wager to have action)

The Houston Astros find themselves down 0-1 in the World Series after Justin Turner's go-ahead 2-run blast homer the 6th all but sealed their fate. Tonight, the Astros will be in bounce back mode and we believe they will have the advantage tonight as they look to even the series at a game.

Facing off against Clayton Kershaw in the playoffs is an extremely daunting task for any team to overcome. Kershaw is one of the best pitchers of this generation and is a tough out for even the most potent of batting lineups. Tonight, the Astros will get somewhat of a reprieve as they will now face off against another southpaw in Rich Hill. Having already faced a lefty last night will give the Astros bats somewhat of an advantage in this contest.

Hill is also predominately a curveball pitcher and throws that pitch nearly 60% of the time. While Hill has normally had success with that pitch, the Astros have been the best team in the league when it comes to hitting curveballs. These big-time games can often come down to which team or pitcher makes the fewest mistakes. If Hill happens to hang a ball in the zone, the Astros aggressive Astros bats will undoubtedly make him pay.

While the Astros will have the benefit of once again seeing a southpaw, the Dodgers bats will once again have to adjust from seeing left-handed Dallas Keuchel last night, to now having to content with Justin Verlander. Verlander has yet to lose since being traded to the Astros and is a much different pitcher than Keuchel, both in terms of delivery as well as in stature. Verlander is a tall pitcher which is going to alter his delivery point to the plate and in turn, force opposing batter to change eye-levels. Even though it may seem like a small adjustment, it will give the Astros a slight advantage in this contest.

A lot of talk has been about how great the Dodgers' bullpen has been during these playoffs and we must give credit where credit is due. The Dodgers' bullpen has played fantastic up until this point, however, Houston has just seen the Dodgers two best arms last night in Morrow and Jansen which could give Houston an advantage in the later innings, now already being somewhat familiar with their deliveries. The Dodgers' have yet to see all that Houston's bullpen has to offer and we wouldn't be surprised if tonight was the game where they show everyone just how good they can be.

We expect another closely contested battle tonight, however, it's tough to discount just what Verlander has been able to do on the mound during his time in Houston. This should be a low scoring game, and much like the Dodgers' bats came through for them last night, we expect the Astros to be the ones who come up with the clutch hits tonight to help them even up the series.




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