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October 16, 2017

There is one pick today.


Take New York Yankees (-140) on the ML against Houston Astros risking 4.20% to win 3%.
(Sabathia and Morton must start for wager to have action.)

The New York Yankees find themselves with their backs up against the wall, down 0-2 in their best of seven series with the Houston Astros. The first two games in Houston turned out to be ultra-competitive, but it was the Astros who managed to make the critical plays late to come away with the razor-thin 2-1 victory in each. With the series now shifting to New York, we expect to see a desperate Yankees team take the field tonight and we expect their bats to find success tonight against Charlie Morton.

Charlie Morton has had a career year this regular season, posting a 3.62 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP accompanied with a 14-7 record in 25 starts. While he may have had success in the regular season, the same cannot be said in the postseason. Morton made the start for Houston in game four of the ALDS and, truth be told, he did not look very good. He appeared nervous on the mound and his pitches were not sharp which caused him to concede two runs on seven hits in 4.1 innings. The veteran right-hander made his lone start against the Yankees this season on the road back in May and allowed four runs in 5.2 innings of work. He has now conceded eight runs in 12.2 career innings against New York and with this matchup being played on the grandest of stages, we wouldn't be surprised to see Morton's nerves once again get the best of him tonight.

The Yankees will send veteran C.C Sabathia to the mound. At 37 years old there is no question that Sabathia's best days as a pitcher are behind him, however, he is one of the few pitchers in the league that has had a career resurgence this season. The playoffs are all about experience and being able to perform in the moment, and there is arguably no player on this Yankees roster that has the amount of experience that this veteran has. Sabathia has been sensational at Yankee Stadium, with his team going 13-3 in his last 16 trips to the mound.

The Yankees managed to keep things competitive in their series in Houston with one or two plays ultimately sealing their fate. Now in desperation mode, in front of their home crowd, we expect them to rally tonight and finally get their offense going. Houston is fortunate to be up 2-0 in this series as those matchups could have gone either way. We expect the Yankees to be sharp both on the mound and at the plate and leave little doubt in Game 3 that they intent to make this a series. The first two games of this series have been close; however, we don't expect that to be the case tonight as the Yankees offense finally wakes up and leads New York to a convincing victory tonight.




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