November 10, 2017
There is one pick tonight.
Take Washington -6 spread against Stanford for 3% of the bankroll.
The Washington Huskies control their destiny when it comes to playing for their consecutive Pac-12 championship and the formula is simple; they must win out. With two marquee games on their schedule (this one included) in their final three games, the Huskies are in the driver's seat at the moment. Winning out not only secures their spot in the Pac-12 title game, but if they win that game as well, they will certainly be in the conversation for the CFP at the end of the season. Controlling their own destiny makes this matchup extremely important and we don't believe Chris Petersen will allow his squad to look ahead and have a potential letdown in this matchup.
These two teams are very similar matched and like to play a similar style of offense that involves running the football. As similar as these teams are however, it is the Huskies who we believe is the more talented team. The Huskies feature a talent-rich offensive line, along with one of the most impressive front sevens anywhere in college football. The Huskies imposed their will on the Cardinal front a season ago in Seattle enroute to a 44-6 blowout victory over the Cardinal. While we don't expect this to be a blowout this time around, we don't see where much has changed from a season ago.
Stanford unquestionably has the best running back in the country in Bryce Love, however, Love has been nursing an ankle injury and is still not 100%. Not only that, but their loss at Washington State last week proved that Love needs the help of a credible attack from the quarterback and that simply has not been happening as of late. K.J. Costello went just 9 of 20 for 109 yards, one week removed from Keller Chryst going 16 of 33 for 141 yards against Oregon State. Love missed the Oregon State game and was limited to a season-low 69 rushing yards at Washington State. Against one of the best defenses in the nation, particularly against the run, Stanford must establish its pass as a credible threat and we simply don't see that happening.
Stanford's offensive woes do not bode well for a matchup with the nation's second-best scoring defense. Washington is allowing just 11.1 points per game. Even in their lone loss on the season against Arizona State, the surrendered just 13 points. Stanford has shown their ability to rise to the occasion for these kind of marquee matchups, particularly at home and defensive coordinator Lance Anderson should have something in store to test Washington early, but the Huskies' own defense will keep the Cardinal in check and give the offense their opportunities to break out and come away with the win. Stanford simply doesn't have the offense to keep up in this matchup. Washington should win this one by a touchdown or more.
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