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November 3, 2017

There is one pick tonight.
 

Take the OVER 79.5 points in Memphis vs. Tulsa for 3% of the bankroll.

For those who are a fan of offense, this should be one of the most entertaining (and highest scoring) matchups of the weekend. Last year's meeting between these two teams posted a combined 89 points and in 2015, they managed to break the 108-point mark! Given the nature (and struggles) of both defenses, we simply don't see how a score like that does not repeat itself in this contest tonight.

The Memphis Tigers' boast a top 10 rating in nearly every offensive category. Riley Ferguson has taken over the reins from Paxton Lynch and it appears that the Tigers have not missed a beat. They are scoring an average of 42.5 points per contest. While they have been extremely potent on the offensive side of the ball, their defense has left little to be desired. On the season, the Tigers have been giving up over 468 yards per game to opposing offenses which has been somewhat masked given their proficiency on the offensive side of the ball.

While Tulsa isn't the quick-scoring team that they have been in year's past, with the insertion of Luke Skipper under center in favor of Chad President, the Golden Hurricane offense has been starting to score points once again. They fell short in their last two contests (both losses) on the road to SMU and Connecticut. With this game being now played at home, we expect Tulsa to come out with guns blazing, looking to pull off the upset.

The Tulsa defense will not be able to stop Ferguson and Memphis will likely be able to name their score in this contest. We have already seen them drop 70 points on Connecticut and 56 against Tulane who both boast similar defenses to Tulsa. The Memphis offense should have another impressive showing in this contest tonight. Tulsa should also be able to find some manner of success with D'Angelo Brewer and their potent ground game. Memphis has been suspect against the run this season and if the Golden Hurricane can get Brewer going early and often, it should turn this matchup into a shootout tonight.

Memphis is the better team in this contest, however, laying 2 touchdowns on the road in a weeknight game is always a dangerous proposition. We wouldn't be surprised to see the Golden Hurricane come into this contest extra motivated to pull the upset and jump out to an early lead. If Tulsa can keep pace with the Memphis offense at least in the early going, we wouldn't be surprised to see this one in the 35-28 realm at the half. These two teams rarely settle for field goals and if they can both continue to cash in in the red zone and come away with 7 points instead of 3, this one should easily go Over the total by the midway point of the 4th quarter.




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