May 15, 2017
There is one pick tonight.
Take the UNDER 211 total points in Washington Wizards vs. Boston Celtics for 3% of the bankroll.
Given the first 5 games of this series, it wasn't really surprising that Game 6 turned into a defensive battle, especially considering what was on the line for both teams. With the Celtics leading by 2 late, John Wall managed to hit a 3-point dagger with 3.5 seconds left on the clock to give his Wizards the victory and force this Game 7. Given that this Game is for all the marbles, we would expect to see a similar effort defensively by both teams.
With 6 games already behind them and 10 games thus far on the season, these two teams and coaches know each other extremely well by now. Both sides have seen just about everything that the other has to offer and are very in-tune with the various offensive style and game plans that have been successful thus far which is a reason why both defenses had success in Game 6. Both of these teams have shown their ability to put points on the board in a hurry and each have learned that the key to winning this game will be the team that makes more plays on the defensive side of the ball.
In three games played at the TD Garden this series, the Wizards have allowed the Celtics to score an average of 127 points per contest and shoot over 50% from the floor! They simply cannot allow that to happen again if they want to have any chance to picking up their first win in this building since 2014. They have played solid defensive on their home court, however, it hasn't traveled with them this series, but we expect that to change for this contest. With their season on the line, we would be surprised if Washington continued to allow the Celtics to do whatever they wanted offensively.
This has been an extremely physical and highly emotional series and we believe fatigued may actually be catching up with some of the players. We wouldn't be surprised to see both teams miss some shots that have otherwise been falling in this series. In Game 6, Boston went just 11 of 35 from deep while the Wizards connected on just 5 of their 24 shots from long range. Whether from fatigued or just a step up in defense, we wouldn't be surprised if those numbers continued tonight.
This has been a highly entertaining series, especially for those who are fans of offense, however we believe this game will be played at a much more methodical pace with an increased effort on limiting mistakes and playing solid defense. The game plan of both teams will likely focus on taking quality shots and preventing this game from turning into a track meet. We saw that work to perfection in Game 6 and expect both coaches to employ a similar game plan tonight which will ultimately keep the final score just below the posted total.
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