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May 11, 2017

There is one pick tonight.

Take San Antonio Spurs +7 spread (buy the half point) against Houston Rockets for 3% of the bankroll.

This is certainly a pivotal game for the Houston Rockets who now find themselves down 3-2 in the series and now fighting for their playing life. There is no question that Mike D'Antoni will be looking for his team to come out of the gate fast in order to even up the series. Couple the desperation of the Rockets with the fact that Kawhi Leonard injured his ankle in Game 5 and is now questionable for Game 6 certainly should give Houston the advantage. Despite the situation, we simply believe this is too many points to be giving a veteran team like the Spurs.

Gregg Popovich is not a coach and the Spurs are not a team that should be underestimated. They are a veteran team, but more importantly, they have played as the more cohesive unit. They are an incredibly deep talent and 'Pop' knows better than any coach, how to extract the most talent out of his players. The same cannot be said for his counterpart, Mike D'Antoni. D'Antoni is no doubt a master at putting together a fast-paced, offensive game plan, but he has also shown his faults in overall management of his roster. In Game 5 he utilized a 7-man rotation. Ryan Anderson and Lou Williams were the only players who saw action off of the bench and with the game going to overtime, all of those players had played extensive minutes and were exhausted. His use of a short rotation could certainly have a lingering effect in this contest.

The Rockets lack of depth could certainly come into play in this contest. Yes, they will have the advantage of playing on their home court in this contest, however the Spurs have proven to be a more than capable team, even on the road. We do expect Leonard to play in this contest, albeit not be at 100%. Even if Leonard cannot take the game over like we have seen him do in the past, there are multiple ways the explosive two-way player can have an impact in the game. Other role players shown their ability to step up when Leonard went down and we wouldn't be surprised to see a similar occurrence in Game 6.

The Spurs would like nothing more than to close out the series tonight to give their 'aging team' more of a chance to rest before playing Golden State in the next round. Yes, they will still have a chance to close out the series in San Antonio should this series go to a Game 7, however, the Spurs will likely do everything they can to prevent that from happening. Even if they fall short of the outright victory, they should be motivated enough to at least make this a closely contested matchup and stay within this generous pointspread. The points will likely prove valuable tonight in what should be a closely contested game.

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