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March 31, 2017

There is one pick today.

 

Take Wyoming -8 spread (buy the half point) against Coastal Carolina for 3% of the bankroll.

Coastal Carolina pulled off an impressive win at home in Game 1 of this series, beating the Cowboys 91-81. Wyoming then got their revenge on Wednesday in Game 2 as they completely throttled the Chanticleers, 81-57. With the series now tied at a game apiece, that makes this matchup extremely interesting as the winner will be crowned the CBI Tournament champion.

We believe the Cowboys were caught somewhat off-guard and received a wakeup call in their Game 1 defeat. The Cowboys defense really stepped up in Game 2 after allowing Coastal Carolina to shoot 47.2% from the field and score 91 point in the series opener. They responded by completely shutting down their offense, holding them to just 31.3% shooting from the field. Having been 'upset' to start the series has really lit a spark under the Cowboys and we believe that will carry over into this contest. Coastal Carolina was also dealt a huge blow in the later stages of Game 1 when senior guard Colton Ray-St Cyr left with a knee injury. Ray-St Cyr was averaging 9.4 points and 6.4 rebounds per game and was a veteran presence on the court. Coastal Carolina obviously isn't the same team without him and we expect that to show once again in this final matchup.

An advantage that Coastal Carolina has had this season has been their ability on the glass, however they were out-muscled on the board in Game 2 and with the success that Wyoming has had, we expect much of the same in Game 3. While we don't expect another 20+ point blowout with this being the championship match, we do believe Wyoming holds the advantage in nearly every aspect and should easily win this one by double digits.

In Game 2, Wyoming showed everyone that they are in fact the overall better team in this series. They have been a strong team at home this season going 18-3 on their floor while the Chanticleers have struggled on the road, going just 3-11 in true road games this season. Where the Cowboys will have a huge advantage and what will likely be the difference maker in this matchup is the 3-point line. The Cowboys have been able to shoot nearly at will from beyond the arc in this series, connecting on thirteen threes’ in Game 1 and twelve in Game 2. They really picked up the tempo and have average over 78 points per game in their last 5 contests. While we don't expect the Chanticleers to struggle as much on offense as they did in Game 2, we do believe the Cowboys will set the pace in this contest offensively and their defense will play well enough to allow them to pull away in the second half to come away with the win and cover.




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