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March 30, 2017

There is one pick today.

  

Take Georgia Tech +4 spread against TCU for 3% of the bankroll.

Since the start of the NIT tournament, the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets have consistently looked like the team that beat ACC powers UNC, FSU, and Notre Dame earlier in the year by defeating its four NIT opponents by an average of 12.25 points per game. The three-headed monster of freshman guard Josh Okogie, junior center Ben Lammers and senior forward Quinton Stephens have led the team this season. Okogie leads the team in scoring with 16.2 points per game, Lammers averages 14.4 points, 9.3 rebounds and 3.4 blocks a night, and Stephens posts 10.5 points and 7.7 rebounds. The Yellow Jackets figure to have a big advantage over their opponents with with 6'10" junior center Ben Lammers.

The Georgia Tech defense has been one of the best in the nation and rank 6th in the country in effective defensive efficiency. Aside from a letdown spot at Syracuse to close the regular season, Georgia Tech hasn't allowed more than 71 points in a game since February 4 at Wake Forest, so the Yellow Jackets have played largely stout defense for 12 of their last 13 games and we expect nothing different with this being (arguably) the most important game of the season.

The oddsmakers still seem to be undervaluing the Yellow Jackets despite the fact that they have managed to win their last two game as underdogs, outright and by double-digits. They are arguably the more 'complete' team in this matchup and despite how well TCU has been playing recently, Lammers will be the difference in this matchup as the Yellow Jackets take home the NIT Title. Even if they fall short, we expect this to be a low scoring game where the points will likely come into play.




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