March 12, 2017
There is one pick today.
#1: Take Michigan +2 spread against Wisconsin for 3% of the bankroll.
There are few teams in the country that are playing as well as the Michigan Wolverines at the moment as they have managed to win 9 of their last 11 games. After nearly sliding off the runway and missing their tournament opening game against Illinois, the Wolverines have been on a mission and in this tournament and have the appearance of being a team of destiny. They have had a tough stretch to get to this point, but they are playing arguably their best basketball of the season at the moment.
This is an extremely important matchup for the Wolverines. The last time the Wolverines made the Big 10 tournament final was in 2014, ending in a heart-breaking loss to arch-rival Michigan State. Derrick Walton Jr. and Zak Irvin were both freshmen on that Michigan team and now they’ll get a second chance to bring home that coveted championship. Walton Jr. has been the unquestioned leader of this team and will be (arguably) the best player on the floor in this contest. On the season, he is averaging 15 points and 4.6 assists per game, while Irvin is second on the team averaging 12.8 points per game, 4.5 rebounds and 2.9 assists.
The Wisconsin Badgers have seemingly turned their season around during the tournament after struggling to end the regular season. That being said, this Wisconsin team is prided on their defense which is holding teams to a conference low 61 points per game. An area where their defense has struggled this season however has been in defending the three-point line. They are allowing teams to shoot nearly 38% from deep and that could hurt them in this contest as Michigan is one of the best perimeter shooting teams in the conference.
Wisconsin may be the fresher team ahead of this contest, but it's hard to ignore what Michigan has been able to do in this tournament. They are the team that has all of the momentum behind them and if their hot shooting continues, it will be extremely difficult for an inconsistent offense such as Wisconsin to keep up on the scoreboard. We expect this to be a closely contested game, however Walton Jr. has shown his ability to make plays in the clutch and we believe he will lead the charge as Michigan comes away with the outright victory and takes home the Big 10 title.
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