March 11, 2017
There is one pick today.
#1: Take Central Florida +8 spread against SMU for 3% of the bankroll.
The SMU Mustangs are clearly the class of the AAC Conference this season. They come into this matchup on a 14-game winning streak and came within 2 points of finishing the regular season undefeated. While it's always difficult to pick against a team that is on such a long winning streak, we believe their opponents are actually playing just a bit better at the moment and have a legitimate shot of winning this game outright.
The UCF Knights come into this contest having won 6 straight and are coming off an absolute dominant performance against the Memphis Tigers. What was so impressive about that victory was not necessarily how well the team played, but the fact that UCF had lost 21 of the previous 23 meetings with Memphis, to simply come out and lay that type of beating was extremely impressive and will have instilled a sense of confidence in the players heading into this matchup with the top team in the conference.
The Knights are led by their defense which ranks 5th in scoring defense, 3rd in rebounding margin and 1st in defensive field goal percentage. This will undoubtedly be the Knights toughest contest of the season; however, these teams are no strangers to one another. SMU handed UCF a 5-point loss on their homecourt back on January 25th. You can bet that the Knights would like nothing more than to get their revenge in this contest. The Knights were competitive in their earlier meeting and at the moment, they are playing their best basketball of the season. This should be a close, low scoring defensive style game and we wouldn't be surprised if the Knights had an opportunity to win this game outright. Even if they fall short, this is a lot of points to receive for a team as defensively sound as UCF and we believe they should come into play.
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