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June 28, 2017

There is one pick today. 

Take Minnesota Twins (+152) on the ML against Boston Red Sox risking 3% to win 4.56%.
(Mejia and Porcello must start for wager to have action)

You wouldn't know that Rick Porcello is the same pitcher who managed to grab 22 wins and the AL Cy Young award a season ago given the way he has pitched this season. He is 4-9 with a 5.00 ERA, a 1.525 WHIP, over 99 innings and has allowed a league high 132 hits. Porcello was 0-4 in his last five starts before picking up the win in his last outing against the Angels, however he wasn't exactly sharp in that outing either, surrendering an additional 4 runs in that contest. He is just 1-1 with an unflattering 7.36 ERA and 1.69 WHIP over his last 3 starts. It has been somewhat of a struggle for the Twins' offense in this series, however, given the way that Porcello has pitched recently, we wouldn't be surprised if he Twins were finally able to break out of their mini-slump and generate some offense tonight.

For the most part, the Twins have been playing extremely well this season and currently find themselves just a half game back of the Cleveland Indians for the lead in the AL Central which makes this series extremely important for the Twins. They will send lefty Adalberto Mejia to the mound tonight. Mejia was called up from Triple-A in May and after a couple of rocky starts, has seemingly started to find his groove over his last few outings. Mejia pitched an absolute gem in his last outing, going 5 innings, giving up just 2 hits and zero earned runs as he got the win over the Cleveland Indians. This will be the first time that the Red Sox have seen Mejia and that could certainly be used to his advantage on the mound.

The Twins are in danger of losing the first three games of this series and falling further behind the Indians in the AL Central. Given the number of hits that Porcello continues to give up, he is actually been fortunate that more of those have not turned into runs scored. The Twins bats have been relatively quiet this series, but we expect that to change tonight against a hittable Rick Porcello. If Minnesota can string together some timely hits, they should be able to plate enough runs to come away with a nice underdog victory.

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