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June 15, 2017

There is one pick today. 

Take Kansas City Royals (+105) on the ML against LA Angels risking 3% to win 3.15%.
(Strahm and Nolasco must start for wager to have action)

The Kansas City Royals travel to Anaheim Stadium tonight as they open up a four-game series with the LA Angels. The Royals had a struggling start to the year, but have been playing their best baseball over the last week and come into this series opener on a 4-game winning streak. A big reason for their success recently has been the fact that they have finally found their offense. Through June, the Royals had scored the fewest runs in the American League (253) but have racked up 35 runs during their current winning streak. Their offense should continue to remain hot as they are set to face a struggling Ricky Nolasco.

There is no question that Nolasco’s best days as a pitcher are behind him and his spot in the rotation is undoubtedly in question. He has dropped five consecutive starts which matches the longest skid of his career and is winless in his last nine outings dating back to April 27. The Angels are also 0-8 in his last 8 appearances on the mound. Nolasco has also struggled against the Royals in his career as the 34-year-old veteran is just 2-4 with a 4.80 ERA in eight career starts has struggled with the likes of Salvador Perez who is 8 for 21 and Alcides Escobar who is 8 for 24 respectively.

Left-hander Matt Strahm will make his first major-league start for the Royals tonight and while many may believe that puts KC at a disadvantage, we actually believe the opposite. While Strahm does not have much experience as a starter, he does have 41 relief appearances under his belt over the past two seasons and has been spectacular when he has taken the mound. Strahm is holding opponents to a .178 batting average this season and has recorded 56 strikeouts in 44 innings of work. Even though playing in a starting role is much different than coming in for relief, what Strahm has showed in terms of pure talent and pitch selections, could be enough to baffle the Angels lineup throughout the early innings of this contest. Given that the Angels have very little experience against the southpaw, we believe that will give Kansas City the advantage on the mound.

The Royals have seemingly had the Angels number already this season as they allowed just three runs while sweeping a three-game home series from LA in mid-April. Given that they are now firing on all cylinders offensively, they should have little issue plating runs against a struggling Ricky Nolasco. If Strahm can simply manage the game and survive the first few innings, the Royals offense should do enough damage to come away with a nice underdog victory.

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