Members Only

June 4, 2017

There is one pick today.

Take Minnesota Twins (-115) on the ML against LA Angels risking 3.45% to win 3%.
(Berrios and Nolasco must start for wager to have action)

This pitching matchup in this contest is a classic tale of youth versus experience, but on paper, has all of the appearances of a mismatch. Ricky Nolasco is not the same pitcher he has been in the past and at nearly 35 years old, it's clear that his best years are behind him. He is just 2-5 this season with an ERA of 5.07. He’s lost his last three starts and hasn’t looked good doing it. In his last three starts, Nolasco has allowed 12 earned runs in 14.2 innings, and his last start was the worst of the three where he went just 2.2 innings against a very mediocre hitting Atlanta Braves team in an outing where he allowed seven hits and six earned runs. He hasn’t won since April 27th against the Oakland A’s. The Angels are winless the last 6 times Nolasco has taken the mound.

The Twins will counter with youngster, Jose Berrios. Berrios is nearly 12 years junior to his counterpart, and at just 23 years old still has a lot to learn. That being said, he still has a lot of talent and a ton of upside. This is his fifth start of the year, and in all four of his starts this year, he has gone at least five innings, which is impressive for someone so young. He has also been impressive in those starts having won three of the four. Batters are hitting just a paltry .146 against him and his WHIP is an ultra-impressive 0.79 on the season! We believe Berrios will own the edge on the mound in this contest.

The Minnesota Twins are one of the rare teams in the league that have played extremely well on the road, especially against right-handed pitchers. They are 13-3 in their last 16 road games against righties and this afternoon will face one of the most hittable pitchers in the league. The Twins have showed quite a bit of power in their lineup as evidenced by their offensive explosion in Game 2 of this series. The Twins took one on the chin yesterday, falling to the Angels in Game 3, however, we expect them to rebound in a big way and make short work of Nolasco's afternoon. While Berrios is due for a less than stellar outing, even if he makes some mistakes in this contest, the Twins bats should be able to produce enough offense to carry them to victory.

Bankroll Tutorial:

Please refer to the important SPS Bankroll System instructions received via email upon joining.