July 24, 2017
There is one pick today.
Take UNDER 8 total runs in Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners for 3% of the bankroll.
(Rodriguez and Paxton must start for wager to have action)
This matchup has all the makings of a classic pitcher's duel and that is exactly what we believe we are going to get in this contest.
James Paxton is having a tremendous season and comes into this contest 9-3 with a 3.05 ERA on the year. He has been nothing short of lights-out in his last 4 starts, dropping his ERA to just 2.05 during that span. He was tremendous once again in his most recent start, where he silenced the red-hot Houston Astros offense, holding them to just a single run over the course of 6 innings. Paxton has completely shut down the Red Sox in his two career starts, giving up just a single run over 16 lifetime innings. Mookie Bets is 1 for 7 against Paton in his career, Hanley Ramirez is 1 for 6 and Dustin Pedrioa is hitless in 6 at-bats against the right-hander. We don’t expect Boston to be able to generate very much offense tonight in this contest.
The Red Sox will counter with southpaw, Eduardo Rodriguez. Rodriguez has spent some time dealing with injuries this season, but since coming back into the rotation, he has started to regain the form that made him such an interesting prospect for this team. Rodriguez has solid career numbers against the Mariners as he has held the team to just a single run over 12.2 career innings, including his most recent start this season where he held Seattle scoreless across 6 innings. The Mariners have some powerful bats in their lineup, but Nelson Cruz is 0 for 5, Robinson Cano is 2 for 6 and Kyle Seager is 1 for 3 against Rodriguez in their careers. We wouldn’t be surprised if Rodriguez was once against able to keep this Mariners’ offense in check.
Both offenses have been struggling to plate runs over the last week and we don't believe that is going to change, especially given the caliber of pitchers that both teams will send to the mound tonight. This will likely be a hard-fought, closely contested battle where the pitcher who makes the least amount of mistakes on the mound, gets the win. Runs should be hard to come by in this contest as this matchup has the makings of a 3-2 type final score line. If that is the case and we are correct with our assumptions, this game should fall just a couple of runs under the posted total.
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