Members Only

July 14, 2017

There is one pick today.

 

Take Atlanta Braves (-108) on the ML against Arizona Diamondbacks risking 3.24% to win 3%.
(Dickey and Walker must start for wager to have action)

The first matchup after the All-Star break can prove to be a tricky situation as teams are now transitioning from somewhat of a laxed atmosphere, directly back into game mode. Due to that, there is often somewhat of an adjustment period that needs to take place and teams who were expected to start off the second half strong, sometimes fail to show up in the early going. Given the time off, there are a lot of assumptions that need to be made, however, taking into consideration how both teams ended the first half, we believe this matchup should favor the Atlanta Braves.

The Braves will turn to veteran knuckleballer, R.A. Dickey for this opening game series. Prior to the break, Dickey had been sharp and looked the best he has all season long, going 1-0 with a 1.35 ERA, a 0.95 WHIP and 17 strikeouts over 20 innings in his last three starts. In this contest, he will make his 4th career start against Arizona and has had impressive numbers to date as he is 2-1 with a 1.64 ERA and a 1.091 WHIP over 22 innings of action. Dickey has also been extremely comfortable pitching in this park as he is 5-1 with a 3.30 ERA and a 1.221 WHIP over nine starts totaling 57.1 innings at SunTrust Park.

Arizona limped into the All-Star break, losing five of their final six games, including being swept by the division leading LA Dodgers. They then dropped two to the Cincinnati Reds which caused them to fall 7.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The good news for Arizona is that they still hold the first Wildcard spot in the West, however their play heading into the break was shaky at best.

Both teams played much better in the first half than expected and we wouldn't be surprised to see that carry over into the second half. Atlanta has really found their groove recently, both with their pitching and at the plate. Meanwhile, Arizona has struggled in both phases and with Dickey throwing the ball as well as he has recently, we believe the DBacks bats will have a hard time getting a read on his famous knuckleball. This one will be close, but Atlanta should find a way to pull off a close win at home.




Bankroll Tutorial:

Please refer to the important SPS Bankroll System instructions received via email upon joining.