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January 28, 2017

There is one NBA pick tonight.

Take Phoenix Suns -3 spread against Denver Nuggets for 3% of the bankroll.

This is the backend of a home-and-home set between these two Western conference foes as they battled just two days ago in Colorado and are now set to go at it again, this time in Arizona. In Thursday's contest, the Nuggets pulled out a close win at the end thanks to a huge fourth quarter! The Suns were right in it but went cold at the most inpportune time, helping Nikola Jokic and company pull out a 'W'. You could see the look of frustration on Phoenix players as they let one get away and PJ Tucker and Devin Booker in particular looked angry about it. Point-guard Eric Bledsoe who had been playing well was also peeved after he had an off shooting night and just never quite got going against Denver. Don't expect the Suns to have forgotten about that game. They'll be looking for payback tonight and will want to atone for that last performance.

Nikola Jokic has arguably been the breakout star of NBA so far this season and is one of the most talented big men in the league! The 21-year old Serbian has been praised by everyone including the likes of Gregg Popovich and anyone who's watched him play can see why. He's got the shooting touch of a potential Dirk Nowitzki type of player while dishing out assists like a point-guard! And at 6 foot 10 and 250 pounds, he's no slouch in the rebounding or defensive department. The Nuggets have been leaning on him heavily over the last month and run a lot of their offense through him. Unfortunately for them, he exited the game against Suns late in the fourth quarter and is unavailable to play tonight. That is certainly welcomed news by Phoenix after he torched them for nearly a Triple-Double on Thursday! Jokic, a player that can stretch the floor, got the better of Tyson Chandler on that occasion and recorded 29 points, 14 rebounds and 8 assists! The Nuggets wouldn't have won that game without him and might struggle in his absence tonight.

Suns' Center, Tyson Chandler has been playing very well recently and other than the tough matchup against Jokic, he'd seemingly rolled back time and was being extremely effective in the paint. The veteran is a true professional who gives 100% each and every night and is one of the best rebounders the game has ever seen. Even at 35 years of age, he's average just over 12 boards per game! He's been a double-double machine recently and we expect him to take full advantage of Jokic's absence tonight. He'll likely be either battling on the glass against undersized players like Darrell Arthur and Kenneth Faried or the big man Jusuf Nurkic. Nurkic is a talented and powerful Center himself but he's almost certain to get traded due to a lack of playing time and might be too rusty to rely on tonight. He's not participated in 2 of the last 3 games and only logged 8 minutes against Utah Jazz on January 24th. Given his lack of minutes on the court this month, he's unlikely to be in proper game shape. That'll make it a tough battle against a competitive in-form veteran like Tyson Chandler.

Phoenix Suns have a long way to go and will not be making the playoffs this season. However, that doesn't mean they'll be a doormat for each and every team out there. This is a squad with some prideful players and you can bet Denver has their attention right now having just beaten them two nights ago. Not only that, coach Earl Watson will be reminding them of the fact that the Nuggets have now beaten them 5 straight times! That won't sit well with the vast majority of this roster and will motivate them to bring that added intensity. Look for a good performance from the hosts in this one as they seek revenge against a Western conference opponent that has had their way with them recently. Jokic's absence will make matters difficult for the visitors and it doesn't help that Kenneth Faried and Wilson Chandler who are likely to get quite a bit of playing time are both carrying injuries. They have been deemed 'probable' to play but are both banged up and not at 100%.

Other notable facts to consider:

  • Suns are 19-14 ATS when seeking revenge for a loss.
  • Suns are 3-0 ATS against poor defensive teams (allowing +99 points) in the second half of the season.
  • Suns are 4-0 ATS against good offensive teams (scoring +99 points) in the second half of the season.

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