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January 3, 2017

There is one college hoops play tonight.

Take St. Bonaventure (PK) against Dayton for 3% of the bankroll.

The big question entering this matchup between the Dayton Flyers and St. Bonaventure Bonnies is if Dayton Guard Charles Cooke is going to play tonight. The senior guard is extremely talented and currently leads the Flyers in scoring, averaging 18.7 points per game. Cooke has been dealing with a wrist injury but injured his back in the Flyers win against VMI is their last contest. Cooke did travel with the team but his status tonight is questionable. If Cooke doesn't play, it would only strengthen our belief that St. Bonnies come away with a victory, but even if it is decided that Cooke will take the court, it's expected that he will be playing at less than 100% and that could cause more harm than good for his team, if he struggles to find his rhythm due to the injuries.

The St. Bonaventure Bonnies opened conference play with an impressive 89-77 road win over Massachusetts. This is a team that is built around strong offensive play and we believe that will be the difference in this contest. St. Bonaventure’s offense is averaging 85.2 points per game, good for 18th in the nation and are shooting 47.1% as a team. Jaylen Adams currently leads not only the team in scoring, but the A10 conference as well, accounting for 23.5 points per game. Matt Mobley is another dangerous threat offensively, averaging 20.5 points per game, ranking him fourth in the A10 in scoring.

The Bonnies are about as dangerous as it gets on the offensive end, hitting nearly 40% of their shot from deep and are a team that also converts at the free throw line, shooting 77.5% from the charity stripe. As solid as the Dayton defense has been this season, the real strength of their D has not been at defending the 3-ball. This is an area that we expect the Bonnies to be able to exploit. Dayton also isn't a particularly savvy rebounding team and will likely be at a disadvantage tonight on the glass.

The Flyers come into this contest on an impressive winning streak, having won 8 of their last 9 games, however we believe they are going to be outmatched in this contest. With or without Cooke in the rotation, St Bonnies will simply have too much offense for the Flyers to keep up and with the home crowd firmly behind their team, that will be the difference maker in the Bonnies pulling off the victory.

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