December 21, 2017
There is one pick tonight.
Take San Diego State +6 spread against Gonzaga for 3% of the bankroll.
This is a matchup that we believe is going to be overlooked by many casual bettors. The Gonzaga Bulldogs are highly ranked in the AP Top 25 and are arguably one of the top 10 best teams in the country again this season. They have been making a name for themselves over the past few years and have thoroughly attracted the sights of the average sports bettor. They are a team that plays incredibly well on both sides of the ball, however, this matchup is not going to be a cakewalk. The Aztecs are a very good basketball team and we don't believe they are truly getting the respect they deserve in this contest.
San Diego State has struggled in their past couple of contests, most recently in a narrow home loss to the Cal Golden Bears. Offense has been a problem for the Aztecs as of late, however, we believe this is a matchup that they will certainly be prepared for. San Diego State has long been known as a team that has been solid on the defensive side of the ball and this season is no different. They have been holding their opponents to just 56.4 points per game on their home floor this season and 35% shooting from the field. The Aztecs should have a much better offensive showing in this contest as they average over 80 points per game on 49% shooting. We believe their loss to Cal was an eye-opener and we should expect a bounce back in this contest.
As good as Gonzaga is, they have no seen a defense like the one they are about to face tonight. After nearly going undefeated in the regular season a year ago, this team already has two losses on their resume. They have had some lackluster performances this season, most recently against a North Dakota State team that took them to overtime. If Gonzaga brings less than their A-game into this contest, they could be primed for the upset. San Diego St will surprise some people in this contest and will keep this matchup incredibly close. They have the capability to pull off the upset tonight, however, even if they don't, we do expect them to keep things close, in which the points should come into play.
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