December 18, 2017
There is one pick tonight.
Take Coastal Carolina +5 spread against Wake Forest for 3% of the bankroll.
The Wake Forest Demon Deacons come into this contest riding an impressive 5-game winning streak. Not only has their win streak been impressive, but over their last 3 games they have certainly started to gain the attention of the betting public as well, having won their last 3-games by an average of 27 points per game. While this is certainly impressive, streaks (and blowouts) like these often set the betting public up for a huge fall. Everyone likes to ride the hot hand in hopes of a victory, and we believe the public will be riding the Demon Deacons in this contest, especially against a lesser known program such as Coastal Carolina and we feel that they will be backing to wrong team in this matchup.
The Coastal Carolina Chanticleers are not the type of program that should be overlooked. They are extremely balanced on both sides of the ball and have a nice inside-out combination in forward Zac Cuthbertson and guard Jaylen Shaw. They are also a fundamentally sound team who are aggressive on the boards, averaging 49 per game on their home court and outrebounding their competition by an average of 11 boards per game. They have also been an extremely sound defensive team, holding their opponents to just 62 points per game on this floor. To think that Wake Forest is simply going to march into this gym and come away with an easy victory would be a mistake. Coastal Carolina has already proven their mettle this season and nearly knocked off South Carolina on the road.
This is a huge game for the Chanticleers against another Power 5 opponents. They will certainly be motivated ahead of this contest, but we don't believe the same can be said for Wake Forest. The Demon Deacons undoubtedly have built up a lot of confidence during their recent winning streak, and coming away with those 'easy' victories likely only inflate their egos. We expect that they will come into this particular matchup and overlooking the Chanticleers as they are about to come into a stretch of extremely tough opponents like Tennessee, North Carolina, and Syracuse in succession. We wouldn't be surprised if their focus is on those matchups ahead and not on the task in front of them.
Wake Forest has been playing well, but we believe they are primed for an upset tonight. If there was a place where they were to stumble; it would be in this contest, especially with it being on the road. Even if Coastal Carolina falls short of the outright victory, we believe they will surprise some people with how competitive they are able to keep this matchup. This game should come down to the wire and if it does, the points will surely be valuable.
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