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August 29, 2017

There is one pick today.

Take St. Louis Cardinals (-114) on the ML against Milwaukee Brewers risking 3.42% to win 3%.
(Weaver and Garza must start for wager to have action)

The St Louis Cardinals travel to Miller park tonight to open a short, 2-game series with the Milwaukee Brewers. The Cardinals could certainly use a win after dropping 6 of their last 8 games, but this series opener should provide them with the advantage needed to stop their recent skid and gives them the victory they so desperately need.

Luke Weaver will make his seventh appearance and fourth start of the season. Weaver has been tremendous since transitioning to his role as a starter and will be targeting his third win in 4 attempts. The young right-hander has been outstanding in his time with the Cardinals this season, allowing only six runs in 23.1 innings of work which has resulted in a 2.31 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP. Weaver faced the Brewers in early August and held them to two runs in 6.1 innings while recording the victory. In his three career starts against the Brewers, Weaver has a lifetime ERA of 2.95 and WHIP of 0.927 over 18.3 innings. We believe he should be able to repeat the success he has had against this team when he takes the mound tonight.

Pitching opposite of Weaver tonight will be Matt Garza who will take the mound for the 21st time of the season. Garza was solid in his latest effort, holding the Giants to one run in five innings, however, the veteran right-hander has struggled in three out of his last four starts and now possesses a 4.67 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 106 innings pitched. He has conceded five runs in his 10.2 innings against the Cardinals this season, and owns a 7-5 record with a 4.01 ERA in 16 career starts against St. Louis. Garza has struggled against this St. Louis lineup in the past and we wouldn't be surprised to see that continue tonight.

Luke Weaver has been very impressive recently, allowing only two runs over his last 15.1 innings, and a total of six runs in his 23.1 innings pitched on the season. Garza, on the other hand, has surrendered 19 runs including eight home runs over his last four starts, so we are expecting the Cardinals to have a very productive night at the plate. The Brewers may be winning ball games, however their production at the plate has taken a huge dip. Overt their last 10 games, the Milwaukee bats have only been averaging 3.8 runs and we don't see that being enough tonight against a Cardinals team that will be desperate to get back into the win column. St. Louis has the advantage on the mound and we believe they ride that to a victory tonight.

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