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August 13, 2017

There is one pick today.

Take Minnesota Twins (-105) on the ML against Detroit Tigers risking 3.15% to win 3%.
(Santana and Boyd must start for wager to have action)

It was a rollercoaster of emotions for both teams yesterday as Detroit jumped out to an early 5-0 lead in the first, only to see the Twins rally and take an 11-6 lead after 6 innings. The Tigers weren't done as they chipped away at the lead which ultimately culminated in a Justin Upton two-run homerun in the bottom of the 9th for the Tigers to complete the comeback and ultimately 'steal' the victory right from under Minnesota's nose. It was a deflating loss for the Twins which snapped their 6-game winning streak.

Minnesota looked like the better overall team for a good portion of yesterday's matchup and that loss puts them in a vulnerable position in the playoff standings. Currently the Twins are 4.5 games behind the Cleveland Indians for the AL Central lead, and after the loss, they are now 0.5 a game back for the second and final Wild Card spot in the AL. This team needs to continue to pile up wins if they want to remain competitive for a playoff position and we believe that extra added motivation will help carry over into this contest as Minnesota looks to avenge yesterday's heart-breaking defeat.

The Twins should have the advantage on the mound in this contest as Ervin Santana takes on Matt Boyd. Boyd has been struggling in his last two contests, failing to make it out of the 5th inning in either of those starts. He's been tagged for 9 runs in his last 8.3 innings of work. Meanwhile, Santana continues to be the epitome of consistency on the road this season. He is 8-2 with an impressive 2.52 ERA through 11 starts on the highway. The Twins are 8-3 when he has taken the mound on the road this season.

The starting pitching advantage shouldn't be overlooked in this matchup. Both teams used quite a bit of their bullpens yesterday which could come back to bite the Tigers in this one. Santana has shown the ability to go a full 9 innings this season, while Boyd hasn't been able to show that kind of stamina. If Detroit needs to go to the bullpen often, that will certainly give the Twins the advantage at the plate. Minnesota has shown their ability to plate runs in a hurry and wouldn't be surprised if they came out of the gate hot in this one. The Twins need this win much more than Detroit does and if they get a lead in this contest, we expect that they will do more to protect it as they find a way to come away with the series closing victory.

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