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AprilĀ 28, 2017

There is one pick tonight.   

Take Utah Jazz -5 spread (buy the half point) against LA Clippers for 3% of the bankroll.

The Utah Jazz have the Clippers on the brink of elimination and will have a chance to close out their series in front of their home crowd tonight. Since losing Blake Griffin, the Clippers have seemed out of sorts and have been at a serious disadvantage in this series. The Jazz have been playing as the more cohesive unit and it has paid dividends in this series. Six players scored in double figures for the Jazz in Game 5, with Gordon Hayward’s 27 points leading the way. But once again, it was Joe Johnson who delivered in crunch time to secure the Utah win. "Iso Joe" hit a pair of big shots in the fourth quarter, and finished the game with 14 points, eight rebounds and three assists. He has seemingly had the Clippers number in this series and is averaging 21.0 points on 60.0 percent shooting in the three Jazz victories in this series.

Utah also won the battle inside in the previous game, controlling the boards (50-44) and outscoring LA in the paint (34-28). The same was true for the defense, as the Clips were held below 100 points once again this series. There is no question that Chris Paul has been having a fantastic series, averaging 27 points, 10.4 assists and 5.6 rebounds, however, despite his monumental efforts, the lack of contributions that he is getting from the other players on the floor simply is not enough to lead to victory.

There is no question that the loss of Griffin has changed this series, but LA has a long history of making early exits in the playoffs over the years. Quin Snyder has outcoached Doc Rivers in this series and Rivers seemingly doesn’t have an answer when the Jazz go to a smaller lineup, or when Snyder goes to a 4-wing rotation without a true guard on the floor. Utah is unquestionably the team with more depth and that has allowed Snyder to change his looks depending on the flow of the game.

The return of Rudy Gobert has also been a gamechanger in this series as his ability on both the offensive and defensive end has been pivotal in the Jazz's game plan. Utah has dominated the boards and in the paint and now with them being back at home, we expect that to be the case once again tonight. This will likely be a close game, but the lack of depth of the Clippers will catch up to them in the second half and that is when we expect the Jazz to begin to pull away on the scoreboard, leading to the win and cover.

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