April 27, 2017
There is one pick tonight.
Take Milwaukee Bucks -1 spread (buy the half point) against Toronto Raptors for 3% of the bankroll.
The Milwaukee Bucks find themselves in a must-win situation tonight as they find themselves down 3-2 in the series with the Toronto Raptors. Toronto managed to take the series lead in a 118-93 rout of the Bucks in Game 5. The Raptors jumped to an 11-point lead after the opening quarter and pulled away in the second half for the victory. It was an impressive team effort as they managed to shoot an ultra-impressive 57.7% from the floor and knocked down 12 of their 27 three point attempts. They also cashed in at the line as well, sinking 24 of their 26 attempts at the charity stripe. The Raptors did have 17 turnovers in that contest, however they made up for it with a 40-23 edge on the glass. Game 5 was an impressive showing by Toronto, but we don't expect to see that kind of production with the series once again shifting to Milwaukee.
The Bucks had a strong showing on the offensive end of the ball in Game 5 themselves, shooting 50% from the field and connecting on 10 of 22 from long range, however their lack of defense, coupled with Toronto's near inability to miss was their downfall. The Bucks lack of defense was somewhat surprising as they are second among playoff teams in scoring defense, allowing just 94.2 points per game. We expect to see the Bucks play much better defense in this contest as that will have been a focused effort by Jason Kidd at practice over the last couple of days.
Milwaukee has now dropped two straight in this series after taking control of homecourt in Game 1. Both the coaching staff as well as the players can't be happy with their level of play in the last two contests and will no doubt come into this matchup looking for a fast start. The Bucks have really allowed Toronto to dictate the tempo in this series and we expect that they will look to slow things down, play tighter defense and force the Raptors shooters into taking contested shots. Milwaukee plays at a much more deliberate pace and we expect to see them slow down the game for this contest.
This is do-or-die time for the Bucks with their season on the line. With this being the most important game of the season, we expect a full effort from everyone on the team. Kris Middleton has been dealing with a sore throat, but there is no question that he will see time on the floor tonight. With this game being played in Milwaukee, we also expect to see an increase in production with some of the other role players on this team like Tony Snell and Malcolm Brogdon. The Bucks had an incredibly poor showing in Game 4 in front of their home fans when they put up just 76 points in the loss. With this potentially being their final home game in front of their fans, we don't expect them to disappoint them yet again. This will likely be a closely contested game, however with the line being where it is at, our interests align perfectly with the team's interest as coming away with any margin of victory works for everyone.
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