April 26, 2017
There is one pick tonight.
Take Seattle Mariners (-127) on the Money Line against Detroit Tigers risking 3.81% of bankroll to win 3%.
(Paxton and Norris must start for wager to have action)
Canadian native James Paxton is set to take the mound at Comerica Park for the visiting Mariners tonight and will give them an edge in the pitching matchup. The hard-throwing southpaw is off to a strong start this season, currently sporting a 2-0 record with an excellent 1.78 ERA! What has impressed us most, however, is his strike-out to walk ratio. He's fanned 30 hitters this year while issuing only 5 free passes! That 6-to-1 K/BB ratio is among the best in the Majors and shows how well he's commanded his pitches. Against a hot-hitting Detroit Tigers club that crossed home plate 19 times yesterday, he's the right guy to toe the rubber for the M's.
Daniel Norris will take the hill for the home side and he's off to a solid start himself. He did get rocked in his last start though, giving up 5 runs (4 earned) in less than 5 innings! Norris is a talented pitcher but one whose confidence wavers from outing to outing. Given that his streak of giving up 3 or less earned runs ended last time out, it wouldn't surprise us if he struggled again tonight. Many Seattle hitters have had success against him in the past as he owns just a 4.05 ERA against the ball club. Last June, he gave up 3 home runs in 5 innings when he faced the M's in Detroit. His other start against them last year wasn't impressive either. Look for the likes of Nelson Cruz to sit on a pitch and do damage against the former Blue Jay product.
Seattle currently sits last in the division largely due to a poor road record that has seen them win only 2 of their first 12 games away from Safeco Field! That makes them extremely hungry to turn things around. The club, as a whole, including the players on the field but also coach Scott Servais and even the general manager are all feeling the pressure and know they must perform. Their road woes can't continue forever. We believe they are starting to see the ball well as they showed in last night's latter innings and will soon record a W or two away from home. Given that they were embarrassed in yesterday's series opener against the Tigers, look for a focused effort from them tonight.
This is a bounce-back game for not only the Mariners but their pitcher as well. Paxton had kept teams scoreless over his first 3 starts of the year until he pitched at the Coliseum in Oakland! It was a rare rough outing for the 28-year old but one that he's more than capable of rebounding from. Detroit got to Felix Hernandez and the rest of the crew early and often yesterday but they generally struggle against left-handed pitching and will now face the one that throws the hardest. Paxton leads all left-handers in average fast-ball velocity at nearly 96 miles per hour! Look for him to induce swing-and-misses from a home-run happy team that could be swinging wildly after yesterday's blowout. Without Miguel Cabrera in the lineup, Detroit sometimes lacks that clutch hitter that makes pitchers pay with runners in scoring position.
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